CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 8

The CSU Northridge Matadors (9-7, 2-2 Big West) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (6-10, 2-2 Big West) at Premier America Credit Union Arena, starting at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 8, 2026. The Mustangs are 5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is 173.

CSU Northridge is coming off of a 74-65 win over UCSB in its last game on Saturday. In the victory, Larry Hughes Jr. led CSU Northridge with 23 points. Cal Poly is coming off of a 74-66 loss to Long Beach State in its last outing on Saturday. Hamad Mousa's team-high 19 points paced Cal Poly in the loss.

CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 8, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Premier America Credit Union Arena in Northridge, California
• Spread favorite: CSU Northridge -5
• Moneyline favorite: CSU Northridge -245
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +198
• Over/Under: 173 points

How to watch CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• This season, CSU Northridge's games have gone over this game's 173-point over/under four times.
• This season, four games Cal Poly has played finished with a combined score over 173 points.
• The over/under for the game of 173 is 12.2 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Matadors (80.1 points per game) and the Mustangs (80.7 points per game).
• This matchup's total is 9.7 fewer points than the 163.3 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for CSU Northridge's games is 158.3 points, 14.7 lower than the over/under of 173 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 7.2 points higher than the average over/under in Cal Poly's games this season of 165.8.

Betting the Spread: CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• Against the spread, CSU Northridge is 8-6-0 this year.
• The Matadors have been favored by 5 points or more two times this season and have covered the spread in all of them.
• Against the spread, Cal Poly is 6-8-0 this year.
• The Mustangs have been underdogs by 5 points or more seven times this year and are 5-2 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this year, CSU Northridge is 5-0 against the spread and 5-0 overall.
• At home, as a 5-point favorite or greater, CSU Northridge is unbeaten ATS (1-0).
• Cal Poly is 5-4 against the spread, and 3-6 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• CSU Northridge has been the moneyline favorite in four games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Matadors have played as a favorite of -245 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 71% chance of a victory for CSU Northridge.
• Cal Poly has been a moneyline underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win four times (33.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Mustangs have come away with a win three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +198 or longer on the moneyline.
• Cal Poly has an implied victory probability of 33.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.