CSU Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 29

The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-13, 2-7 Big West) are favorites, by 1.5 points, versus the Cal Poly Mustangs (7-14, 3-6 Big West) on January 29, 2026 at Icardo Center. The Mustangs are struggling right now, having lost three in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 162.5.

Their last time out, CSU Bakersfield lost 98-71 to Hawaii on Friday. In CSU Bakersfield's loss, Dailin Smith led the way with a team-high 28 points (adding two rebounds and one assist). Cal Poly lost its last outing 93-78 against CSU Fullerton on Saturday. Cal Poly got a team-high 20 points from Cayden Ward in the loss.

CSU Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Icardo Center in Bakersfield, California
• Spread favorite: CSU Bakersfield -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: CSU Bakersfield -113
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly -106
• Over/Under: 162.5 points

How to watch CSU Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: CSU Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly

• This season, CSU Bakersfield's games have gone over this game's 162.5-point total three times.
• This season, 12 of Cal Poly's games have ended with a combined score higher than 162.5 points.
• The Roadrunners average 72.5 points per game against the Mustangs' 79.8, totaling 10.2 points under the matchup's point total of 162.5.
• This game's total is 2.7 less than the 165.2 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• This season the average over/under for CSU Bakersfield's games is 151.0 points, 11.5 fewer than the over/under of 162.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 4.0 points lower than the average over/under in Cal Poly's games this season of 166.5.

Betting the Spread: CSU Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly

• Against the spread, CSU Bakersfield is 8-11-0 this year.
• This season, the Roadrunners have just one against the spread win in four games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Cal Poly has eight wins against the spread in 19 games this season.
• The Mustangs are 8-9 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
• At home this season, CSU Bakersfield is 4-5 against the spread and 4-5 overall.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, CSU Bakersfield has one win ATS (1-3).
• On the road, Cal Poly is 6-5 against the spread, and 3-8 overall.
• Cal Poly is winless ATS (0-1) on the road as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: CSU Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly

• CSU Bakersfield has been the moneyline favorite in four games this season and won three (75%) of those contests.
• The Roadrunners are 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for CSU Bakersfield.
• Cal Poly has been victorious in five, or 29.4%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Mustangs have been victorious five times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
• Cal Poly has an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.