Guardians vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 18

The Cleveland Guardians and Pittsburgh Pirates square off on Saturday at 1:10 p.m. ET, beginning a three-game series at Progressive Field. Gavin Williams (10-4, 3.81 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, who are 51-46 this season and second in the AL Central. Jared Jones (1-1, 4.37 ERA) is expected to start for the Pirates, who are 50-47 and fourth in the NL Central.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Guardians (-127) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Pirates (+104) at home. The game's over/under is 7.5.

Guardians vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, July 18, 2026
• Game time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field
• Favorite: Guardians (-127)
• Underdog: Pirates (+104)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Pirates

• TV Channel: CLEG and SportsNet PT
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Guardians vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

• The Guardians have won 28 of the 53 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (52.8%).
• Pittsburgh has been underdogs in 43 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (41.9%) in those contests.
• Cleveland has a record of 12-17 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
• This year, the Pirates have won 12 of 27 games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Guardians have an implied win probability of 55.9%.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Guardians vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 97 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-52-0).
• Pittsburgh's games have gone over the total in 56 of its 97 chances.
• The Guardians have covered 50.5% of their games this season, going 49-48-0 ATS.
• In 97 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 50-47-0 against the spread.