Citadel vs. VMI Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 29

In a matchup featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the VMI Keydets (6-15, 1-7 SoCon) face the Citadel Bulldogs (6-15, 3-5 SoCon) at McAlister Field House on January 29, 2026. The Keydets have lost six in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 2.5 points. The over/under is 142.5 for the matchup.

Citadel heads into this contest following an 84-55 loss to East Tennessee State on Friday. Logan Applegate put up 18 points, six rebounds and zero assists for Citadel. VMI heads into this game on the heels of an 88-58 loss to Western Carolina on Saturday. AJ Clark put up 17 points, five rebounds and one assist for VMI.

Citadel vs. VMI Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: McAlister Field House in Charleston, South Carolina
• Spread favorite: Citadel -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Citadel -130
• Moneyline underdog: VMI +110
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Citadel vs. VMI

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Citadel vs. VMI

• This season, Citadel's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 142.5-point total eight times.
• A total of 12 of VMI's games have finished with a combined score higher than 142.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 142.5 is 0.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bulldogs (70.0) and Keydets (73.2).
• This matchup's point total is 12.3 less than the 154.8 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Citadel has had a 147.6-point over/under in its games this season, 5.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 8.0 points lower than the average over/under in VMI's games this season of 150.5.

Betting the Spread: Citadel vs. VMI

• Against the spread, Citadel is 8-10-0 this year.
• In VMI's 18 games this year, it has six wins against the spread.
• This year, the Keydets have an ATS record of 5-9 in their 14 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Citadel is 3-4 against the spread and 2-5 overall.
• This season on the road, VMI is 4-5 against the spread and 1-8 overall.
• VMI has one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Citadel vs. VMI

• Citadel lost the only game it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bulldogs have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -130 moneyline set for this game.
• Citadel has a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• VMI has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (13.3%) in those games.
• This season, the Keydets have come away with a win two times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies VMI has a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win.