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Cincinnati vs. Kansas State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

11 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Cincinnati Bearcats (12-12, 4-7 Big 12) are favored, by 2.5 points, versus the Kansas State Wildcats (10-13, 1-9 Big 12) on February 11, 2026 at Bramlage Coliseum. The Wildcats are sputtering right now, having lost four in a row and going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 147.5.

Cincinnati enters this contest after a 92-72 victory against UCF on Sunday. Baba's team-high 17 points paced Cincinnati in the win. Kansas State's last game on Saturday ended in an 84-82 loss to TCU. PJ Haggerty scored 30 points in Kansas State's loss, leading the team.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas State Odds and Game Time

  • When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas
  • Spread favorite: Cincinnati -2.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Cincinnati -146
  • Moneyline underdog: Kansas State +120
  • Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Cincinnati vs. Kansas State

Betting the Over/Under: Cincinnati vs. Kansas State

  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (147.5 points) eight times this season.
  • This season, 21 of Kansas State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 153.3 points per game, 5.8 points more than the point total of 147.5 for this matchup.
  • The 147.6 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 0.1 more than the 147.5 total in this contest.
  • This season the average over/under for Cincinnati's games is 138.9 points, 8.6 fewer than the over/under of 147.5 set for this contest.
  • Kansas State's games have an average over/under of 162.0 points this season, 14.5 more points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: Cincinnati vs. Kansas State

  • Cincinnati has played 24 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, the Bearcats have been installed as favorites by a 2.5-point margin or more 14 times and are 7-7 ATS in those contests.
  • Kansas State has nine wins against the spread in 23 games this year.
  • This year, the Wildcats have an against-the-spread record of 5-5 in their 10 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
  • At home this season, Kansas State is 3-11 against the spread and 8-6 overall.
  • This year, as a 2.5-point underdog or greater at home, Kansas State is 3-8 ATS.
  • Away from home, Cincinnati has just one win against the spread and are 0-6 overall.
  • On the road, Cincinnati is winless ATS (0-1) as 2.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Cincinnati vs. Kansas State

  • Cincinnati has been the moneyline favorite in 13 games this season and won 10 (76.9%) of those contests.
  • The Bearcats have entered 13 games this season favored by -146 or more and are 10-3 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for Cincinnati.
  • Kansas State has been victorious in two, or 16.7%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
  • This year, the Wildcats have won one of nine games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Kansas State has an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Cincinnati vs. Kansas State

  • Pick ATS: Kansas State (+ 2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (147.5)
  • Prediction: Kansas State 78 - Cincinnati 77

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