Bears vs. Patriots Week 7 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Chicago Bears (4-2) are slim favorites (-2.5) over the New England Patriots (4-2), despite the Patriots having won three games straight. The game has an over/under of 50.5 points.

On offense, the Bears have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by compiling 388.3 yards per game. They rank seventh on defense (302.3 yards allowed per game). The Patriots rank seventh with 374.2 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank sixth with 300.8 total yards surrendered per game on defense.

Bears vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time

• Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Chicago, Illinois
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Total: 50.5 points
• Spread: Bears -2.5
• Moneyline: Bears (-155), Patriots (+130)

How to watch Bears vs. Patriots

• TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video

Betting the Over/Under: Bears vs. Patriots

• Bears games have gone over 50.5 points twice this season (in six outings).
• Chicago games have hit the over twice this season.
• The Patriots and their opponents have combined to score more than 50.5 points twice this season.
• In 2026, three New England games have gone over the point total.
• The two teams average 47.7 points per game combined, 2.8 fewer than this matchup's total.
• These teams surrender 38.6 points per game combined, 11.9 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Bears vs. Patriots

• Chicago has compiled a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• Chicago has covered the spread twice this season (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Patriots have won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover or pushing three times.
• New England has covered the spread once when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• The Bears have two wins against the spread, and are 2-1 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Chicago has one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point favorites or more.
• The Patriots have one win against the spread, and are 1-2 overall away from home.
• On the road, New England has one win ATS (1-1-1) as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Bears vs. Patriots

• Chicago has gone 3-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).
• This season, the Patriots have won one out of the three games in which they've been the underdog.
• Chicago has gone 2-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter (66.7%).
• New England has a record of 1-2 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
• The Bears have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Bears vs. Patriots

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