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Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 22

22 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres -- both coming off victories -- will face each other on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET, at Bell Centre in Montréal. The Sabres are slight underdogs, at +100, and the Canadiens are -120.

Montreal secured a 4-3 victory at home its last time out on Jan. 20 against the Minnesota Wild. The Canadiens were led by Ivan Demidov (two assists) and Lane Hutson (one goal and one assist).

Buffalo won on the road in its most recent game on Jan. 20, 5-3 over the Nashville Predators. Konsta Helenius' three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup led the Sabres.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will bring home the win in Thursday's hockey action.

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Canadiens vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Sabres 4 - Canadiens 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.03 goals)

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Canadiens vs. Sabres Moneylines

Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Canadiens-Sabres matchup.

  • Favorite: Canadiens (-120)
  • Underdog: Sabres (+100)

Canadiens Betting Insights

  • The Canadiens are 13-10 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter, Montreal is 12-9 (winning 57.1% of the time).
  • The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Canadiens have a 54.5% chance to win.
  • In 30 of 50 matches this season, Montreal and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.

Sabres Betting Insights

  • The Sabres have been listed as an underdog 25 times this season, and won 13, or 52.0%, of those games.
  • Buffalo has a record of 12-10, a 54.5% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +100 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline set in this contest implies a 50.0% chance of victory for the Sabres.
  • Buffalo's games this season have had over 6.5 goals 24 of 49 times.

Canadiens Key Stats

  • Montreal's 170 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the third-highest scoring team in the NHL.
  • The Canadiens rank 24th in goals against, allowing 163 total goals (3.3 per game) in NHL play.
  • It has the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +7.
  • The 34 power-play goals the Canadiens have recorded this season are ninth-best in the NHL (on 145 power-play chances).
  • Montreal has the league's ninth-best power-play conversion rate (23.45%).
  • The Canadiens have scored four shorthanded goals this season.
  • Montreal kills 77.44% of opponent power plays, the 26th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Montreal wins 49.9% of its faceoffs (18th in NHL).
  • The Canadiens make 13% of their shots (second in the league).

Sabres Key Stats

  • Buffalo has 160 goals this season (3.3 per game), 11th in the league.
  • The Sabres' total of 153 goals given up (3.1 per game) is 19th in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +7, the team is 12th in the league.
  • With 28 power-play goals (on 145 chances), the Sabres are 19th in the NHL.
  • Buffalo's power-play percentage (19.31) puts the team 20th in the league.
  • The Sabres have six shorthanded goals (third in NHL).
  • At 82.84%, Buffalo has the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Buffalo is 32nd in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (44.8%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.8%, the Sabres are seventh in the league.

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