Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

The Cal Baptist Lancers (16-6, 6-3 WAC) play the Tarleton State Texans (11-11, 2-7 WAC) as 9.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is 142.5 in the matchup.

In its last time out, Cal Baptist won on Saturday 87-77 over UT Arlington in overtime. Dominique Daniels Jr. put up 28 points, five rebounds and six assists for Cal Baptist. Tarleton State enters this contest on the heels of a 65-59 loss to Utah Tech on Saturday. Camron McDowell scored 16 points in Tarleton State's loss, leading the team.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside, California
• Spread favorite: Cal Baptist -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cal Baptist -538
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +405
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State

• Cal Baptist and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (142.5 points) 10 times this season.
• There have been 11 Tarleton State games that ended with a combined score higher than 142.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 152 points per game, 9.5 points more than the over/under of 142.5 for this matchup.
• The 143.9 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 1.4 more than the 142.5 over/under in this contest.
• Cal Baptist has seen a 143.6 average over/under in its games this season, 1.1 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• Tarleton State's games have an average over/under of 152.4 points this season, 9.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State

• Cal Baptist has played 22 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Lancers have just one against the spread win in seven games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• In Tarleton State's 18 games this year, it has 10 wins against the spread.
• The Texans have an against the spread record of 3-1 in their four games as an underdog of 9.5 points or more this year.
• Cal Baptist is 4-6 against the spread, and 10-0 overall, at home this year.
• Cal Baptist has one win ATS (1-6) as a 9.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Tarleton State is 3-7 overall, and 6-4 against the spread, away from home.
• On the road, Tarleton State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 9.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State

• Cal Baptist has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and won 13 (92.9%) of those contests.
• The Lancers are undefeated in seven games this season when favored by -538 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Cal Baptist, based on the moneyline, is 84.3%.
• Tarleton State has been a moneyline underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win two times (20%) in those contests.
• The Texans have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +405 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Tarleton State has a 19.8% chance of walking away with the win.