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Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview/Prop Pick

23 January 2022

The NFL Divisional Round wraps up on Sunday night with a matchup that everyone is looking forward to. The Kansas City Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills, with the winner advancing to the AFC Championship against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Buffalo already has a win over Kansas City in the regular season, but the Bills weren’t always sharp throughout the year. The Bills destroyed the New England Patriots in the Wild Card Round as the offense put on an absolute show.

Kansas City always seems to find another gear in the postseason, and they will need to do it again if they want to beat the Bills on Sunday. The Chiefs are once again an explosive offensive team, but all eyes will be on the defense in this matchup. 

The Kansas City Chiefs are slim two-point favorites over the Buffalo Bills in this AFC showdown. 

Bills Must Find Balance

The Buffalo Bills have a superstar quarterback in Josh Allen, but they can’t simply rely on him to deliver every single night. Kansas City is going to look to get pressure on Allen, and the receivers aren’t going to have much time to get open. 

Stefon Diggs has been the top target for Allen, and he racked up over 1,200 receiving yards this season. Kansas City doesn’t always have a great defense in the secondary, and the Bills will be looking to take advantage.

The Buffalo defense completely shut down New England in the Wild Card Round, and that unit will have to be great again on Sunday.

Chiefs Must Get Stops

The Kansas City Chiefs don’t ever have trouble scoring points, but the defense can sometimes be a real issue. If the Chiefs are going to make it back to the Super Bowl again this season, then they must find ways to slow down Josh Allen and that Bills attack. 

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for over 4,800 yards this season, but he also struggled with turnovers. Kansas City has the ability to put up points in a hurry, but they can’t have their quarterback throwing the football away.

Playing at home is going to be a huge advantage for the Chiefs, but they can’t afford to play poorly and let the Bills jump out to a big lead.

Chiefs Cruise to AFC Championship Game

Buffalo blew out Kansas City earlier this season, but they also caught the Chiefs when they were looking pretty vulnerable. The Bills have the ability to put up points in a hurry, but they are facing a Chiefs team that has actually been pretty solid on defense of late.

This has not been a magical season for Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, but they have still been scoring points like crazy. Mahomes is going to be extremely focused in this matchup, and it’s hard to see the Buffalo Bills getting enough stops to slow him down. 

Bet the Kansas City Chiefs -2.0 over the Buffalo Bills as they cruise into another AFC Championship Game to be played at Arrowhead Stadium.

Prop Pick

Kansas City (-110) OVER 27.5 Points

The Chiefs averaged 29.4 points per game this season, which ranked No. 4 in the league. That average increased to 33.7 points over the last three games. Kansas City has gone OVER in each of its last 6 games.

With Dunkel predicting a Kansas City victory by the score of 32-26, take the Chiefs (-110) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 27.5 points against the Bills.

Keep up with your latest NFL news coverage and betting pick previews at The Dunkel Index.

 

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