Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview/Prop Picks
27 June 2022

Two teams looking to further climb up the AL East ladder face off today. The Boston Red Sox, who are 42-31 and second in the AL East, face the 40-32 Toronto Blue Jays.
The Blue Jays rank third in the AL East, with each of these teams chasing the New York Yankees. The Red Sox have won seven games in a row. Now, as they face the Blue Jays, they're looking for another.
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit a rough patch, losing four of their last six. In order to avoid falling further down in the AL East, they need a win here. Beating the Red Sox right now won't be easy, especially with how they've played.
Yesterday's 10-3 loss devastated the Blue Jays' morale. Today, they face another team that knows how to put up a lot of runs on the board.
Boston Red Sox: The No.1 batting team in MLB is set for tonight
One thing that you have to keep in mind is the Red Sox has a strong group of hitters. In yesterday's win over the Cleveland Guardians, they scored eight runs.
By the sixth inning, the Red Sox were already up 5-0 on the Guardians. If they can implement the same tactics against the Blue Jays, they'll win. However, there is a weak point in the Red Sox plans today.
Although they rank first overall in MLB with a batting average of .261, pitching could be a problem. On the mound tonight is Connor Seabold, who has yet to pitch a single inning.
With Seabold on the mound, we aren't sure what to expect. We do know, however, that the Red Sox will have to rely on batting to win tonight. This slightly shifts the momentum to the Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays: Desperate for a win, Gausman starts tonight
The Blue Jays will send out the 5-6 Kevin Gausman to begin tonight's game. Gausman has an ERA of 3.19 over the course of 79 innings. Gausman's last three games have resulted in a loss, although not necessarily because of him.
The good news for the Blue Jays is they have the batters to keep up with Boston. If Gausman gets six good innings in, they'll be in good shape.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a team batting average of .255, ranking fourth in MLB. With an on-base percentage of .323, they rank sixth overall. They can use their batting prowess to their advantage.
The key is getting an early start over the Red Sox. If they can get a sizable lead, they should be able to hold them off. However, it could also go in favor of the Red Sox as well.
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick
These two teams have a lot in common, especially in terms of batting. They've already played each other seven times this year, with the Blue Jays winning five. Because of this and the unknown pitcher for the Red Sox, we'll take the Blue Jays -191.
Considering they're heavy favorites, we'll also pair this game with the over to boost the odds. In 12 of Toronto's last 13 games at home, the total has gone over. With batters on both sides being among the best in MLB, it seems like a safe bet.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -191, OVER
Prop Picks
Toronto (+115) OVER 5.5 Runs
Toronto is averaging 4.77 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 8 in the league, with a team OPS of .753, which ranks No. 3. Scores have gone OVER in 12 of Blue Jays’ last 13 home games.
With Dunkel predicting a Toronto home victory by the score of 6-5, take the Blue Jays (+115) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 5.5 runs against the Red Sox.
Bo Bichette (-140) OVER 0.5 Runs Scored
Bichette has scored 40 runs in 71 games this season, which is tied for No. 2 on the Blue Jays. The veteran shortstop has scored 36 runs in 140 at-bats at home with an OPS of .752.
With Dunkel predicting a Toronto home victory while going OVER its team run total, take Bichette (-140) to finish OVER 0.5 runs scored against Boston.
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