Celtics vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 6

The Boston Celtics (33-18) will attempt to continue a four-game winning streak when hosting the Miami Heat (27-25) on February 6, 2026 at TD Garden.

The Celtics are currently solid 6.5-point favorites over the Heat. The over/under is 226.5 points for the game.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, February 6, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Arena: TD Garden
• Total: 226.5 points
• Spread: Celtics -6.5
• Moneyline: Celtics (-245), Heat (+200)

How to watch Celtics vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, NBCS-BOS

Betting the Over/Under: Celtics vs. Heat

• The Celtics' 51 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 226.5 points 23 times.
• The Heat have played 37 games this season that finished with a combined score over 226.5 points.
• These teams average 235.8 points per game between them, 9.3 more than this game's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams average 226.6 points per game combined, 0.1 more points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Celtics vs. Heat

• Boston has covered 29 times in 51 chances against the spread this season.
• The Celtics have been favored by 6.5 points or more 23 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those matchups.
• The Heat have won 29 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 23 times.
• Miami has an ATS record of 6-3 when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season.
• The Celtics are 12-12 against the spread, and 16-8 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home, Boston is 8-6 ATS.
• In away games, the Heat are 15-10-1 against the spread, and 11-15 overall.
• Miami has two wins ATS (2-1) away from home as 6.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Celtics vs. Heat

• The Celtics have a 25-11 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 69.4% of those games).
• This season, the Heat have won 12 out of the 27 games, or 44.4%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Boston has a record of 18-5 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -245 or shorter (winning 78.3%).
• Miami has a record of 3-7, a 30% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +200 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Celtics a 71.0% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Celtics vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 6.5)
• Pick OU: Under (226.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 106 - Celtics 105
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!