Celtics vs. Warriors Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 19

The Boston Celtics (35-19) square off against the Golden State Warriors (29-26) on February 19, 2026 on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-BOS.

Thursday's matchup between the Celtics and the Warriors features the Celtics as 5.5-point favorites. The game's over/under is 211.5.

Celtics vs. Warriors Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, February 19, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center
• Total: 211.5 points
• Spread: Celtics -5.5
• Moneyline: Celtics (-215), Warriors (+180)

How to watch Celtics vs. Warriors

• TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, NBCS-BOS

Betting the Over/Under: Celtics vs. Warriors

• In 39 games this season, the Celtics and their opponents have scored more than 211.5 combined points.
• The Warriors have combined with their opponents to score more than 211.5 points in 41 of 55 games this season.
• The teams combine to score 230.8 points per game, 19.3 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams score 222.1 combined points per game, 10.6 more points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Celtics vs. Warriors

• Boston is 30-23-1 ATS this season.
• The Celtics are 15-12 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• The Warriors have won 24 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 31 times.
• Golden State has been an underdog by 5.5 points or more 10 times this year, and covered the spread in three of those games.
• The Warriors are 13-14-1 against the spread, and 18-10 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 5.5-point underdog or greater, Golden State is 10-6-1 ATS.
• This season in away games, the Celtics are 17-9-1 against the spread and 17-10 overall.
• As 5.5-point favorites or more on the road, Boston is 6-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Celtics vs. Warriors

• The Celtics have won 69.2% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (27-12).
• The Warriors have won six, or 37.5%, of the 16 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -215 or shorter, Boston has a record of 21-5 (80.8% win percentage).
• Golden State has a record of 2-7, a 22.2% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +180 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Celtics a 68.3% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Celtics vs. Warriors

• Pick ATS: Warriors (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (211.5)
  
• Prediction: Warriors 113 - Celtics 112
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!