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Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks Game 4 Betting Preview/Prop Picks

09 May 2022

Game 3 of the series between the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks should be entertaining. At the moment, the Bucks lead the series 2-1, but the Celtics are showing promise.

In Game 3, the Celtics narrowly lost 103-101, a strong defensive output from them. If they can match their defense with some offense, they'll be in good shape. Of course, this is easier said than done.

The Milwaukee Bucks can't afford to take their foot off the gas now. They have the Celtics against a wall and have one more game at home before returning to Boston.

If they can win here, they'll be up 3-1 and have the Celtics on the brink of elimination. With so much on the line, it's not surprising that the points spread is so small. Still, let's make our pick for tonight's game.

Boston Celtics: Offense and defense need to bring the A-game

It's great that the Celtics held the Bucks to only 103 points in Game 3, but where was the offense? As a team, the Celtics averaged 111.55 during the regular season.

However, during this series, the Celtics have averaged just 99.7 points per game. Averaging 10 points less is no way to win games, especially against Milwaukee. We need to see more from the Celtics tonight.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Celtics know what they need to do. They've done well limiting the Bucks' scoring over the last three games. Still, they can't afford to relax on defense, especially against Giannis.

The Bucks play physical basketball, something the Celtics aren't familiar with. Protecting the interior should be priority number one as they head into Game 4.

Milwaukee Bucks: This is a pivotal game for the Bucks

If the Bucks were to lose tonight, the series would be tied at 2-2. Not only that, the Celtics would return home and take the momentum with them. The Bucks are a good basketball team but haven't put up a lot of points recently.

In Game 2, they were held to just 86 points, one of their worst outings of the year. They can't afford another game like that if they want to win the series.

The first thing the Bucks need to do is take Jayson Tatum out of the equation. With Giannis guarding Tatum, this gives the Bucks the best chance to win.

However, there are players such as Jaylen Brown for the Celtics that will give the Bucks trouble. So, it's not only the interior that the Bucks have to protect but the perimeter as well. So, who's the best bet for tonight's game?

Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick

After looking at each of these teams, Milwaukee is the best bet. Defensively, they have an edge on the Celtics due to physicality.

Along with that, the point spread is so small that it's essentially a pick 'em. Because of this, we'll go with the team playing at home.

When betting on the total, we'll definitely take the under tonight. Neither of these teams has shown a lot of offense, so the best bet is the under. In each of the three games to start the series, the total has gone under.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -1, UNDER\

Prop Picks

Boston (-120) UNDER 106.5 Points

Milwaukee is allowing 112.1 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 19 in the league. That average decreases to 110.1 points per game at home. Scores have gone UNDER in each of the Bucks’ last eight games overall.

With Dunkel predicting a Milwaukee victory by the score of 105-101, take the Celtics (-120) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 106.5 points against the Bucks.

Grant Williams (-115) UNDER 9.5 Points

Williams averaged 7.8 points per game in 77 games during the regular season, which ranked No. 10 on the Celtics. That average decreased to 6.8 points per game in Boston losses.

With Dunkel predicting a Milwaukee victory, take Williams (-115) to finish UNDER his Vegas point total of 9.5 points against the Bucks.

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