Boise State vs. Nevada Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 3
03 February 2026

The Boise State Broncos (13-9, 5-6 MWC) square off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (16-6, 8-3 MWC) as 5.5-point favorites on Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under of 145.5.
Boise State is coming off of an 86-69 loss to Grand Canyon in its last outing on Friday. In Boise State's loss, Javan Buchanan led the way with a team-high 14 points (adding six rebounds and two assists). In its last matchup on Friday, Nevada claimed an 89-76 victory against UNLV. In Nevada's win, Corey Camper Jr. led the way with 32 points (adding four rebounds and two assists).
Boise State vs. Nevada Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho
- Spread favorite: Boise State -5.5
- Moneyline favorite: Boise State -263
- Moneyline underdog: Nevada +213
- Over/Under: 145.5 points
How to watch Boise State vs. Nevada
- TV Channel: MW Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Boise State vs. Nevada
- A total of 14 of Boise State's games this season have gone over Tuesday's total of 145.5 points.
- This season, 13 games Nevada has played finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points.
- The total for the matchup of 145.5 is 9.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Broncos (78.1) and Wolf Pack (76.9).
- The 143.6 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 1.9 fewer than the 145.5 over/under in this contest.
- On average, Boise State has seen a 150.9-point over/under in its games this season, 5.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- The over/under for this contest is 2.2 points lower than the average over/under in Nevada's games this season (147.7 points).
Betting the Spread: Boise State vs. Nevada
- Boise State is 12-9-0 against the spread this year.
- The Broncos have been favored by 5.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 7-4 ATS in those games.
- Nevada has played 22 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
- The Wolf Pack have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 5.5 points or more (in three chances).
- Boise State is 8-2 overall, and 6-4 against the spread, at home.
- Boise State is 6-3 ATS as a 5.5-point favorite or greater at home.
- Away from home, Nevada is 4-3 against the spread, and 4-3 overall.
- Nevada is winless ATS (0-2) as 5.5-point underdogs or more on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: Boise State vs. Nevada
- This season, Boise State has won nine out of the 12 games, or 75%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Broncos have entered eight games this season favored by -263 or more and are 7-1 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from Boise State, based on the moneyline, is 72.5%.
- Nevada has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in eight games this year and has walked away with the win three times (37.5%) in those games.
- This season, the Wolf Pack have been a moneyline underdog of -263 or more three times, losing every contest.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Nevada has a 31.9% chance of walking away with the win.
