Belmont vs. Valparaiso Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 13
13 January 2026

The Belmont Bruins (15-3, 5-2 MVC) play the Valparaiso Beacons (8-9, 2-4 MVC) as 11.5-point favorites on Tuesday, January 13, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 148.5.
In its last matchup on Saturday, Belmont secured a 78-76 win over Drake. Tyler Lundblade's team-high 15 points led Belmont in the victory. Valparaiso is coming off of a 92-79 loss to Murray State in its most recent outing on Saturday. Brody Whitaker scored 19 points in Valparaiso's loss, leading the team.
Belmont vs. Valparaiso Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, January 13, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Curb Event Center Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
- Spread favorite: Belmont -11.5
- Moneyline favorite: Belmont -752
- Moneyline underdog: Valparaiso +525
- Over/Under: 148.5 points
How to watch Belmont vs. Valparaiso
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Belmont vs. Valparaiso
- Belmont and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (148.5 points) 10 times this season.
- There have been five Valparaiso games that finished with a combined score over 148.5 points this season.
- The over/under for the contest of 148.5 is 6.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bruins (83.4) and Beacons (71.8).
- These two teams surrender a combined 140.8 points per game, 7.7 points less than this contest's over/under.
- Belmont has seen a 153.1 average over/under in its games this season, 4.6 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this game is 5.6 points higher than the average over/under in Valparaiso's games this season of 142.9.
Betting the Spread: Belmont vs. Valparaiso
- Belmont is 9-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The Bruins have been favored by 11.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
- In Valparaiso's 16 games this season, it has 11 wins against the spread.
- The Beacons have been underdogs by 11.5 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread twice.
- Belmont has two wins against the spread, and is 5-2 overall, at home this year.
- At home, Belmont has one win ATS (1-3) as a 11.5-point favorite or greater.
- In away games, Valparaiso is 1-6 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
Betting the Moneyline: Belmont vs. Valparaiso
- Belmont has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and won 12 (80%) of those contests.
- The Bruins have entered five games this season favored by -752 or more, and won each of those games.
- Belmont has a 88.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Valparaiso has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
- The Beacons have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +525 moneyline underdog.
- Valparaiso has an implied victory probability of 16% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
