Belmont vs. Murray State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 15

In a matchup featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the Belmont Bruins (23-4, 13-3 MVC, 9-1 in their last 10) play the Murray State Racers (19-8, 11-5 MVC) at CFSB Center on February 15, 2026. The Bruins are favorites by 1.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 166.5 points.

Their last time out, Belmont won on Thursday 91-86 against Northern Iowa. In the win, Tyler Lundblade led Belmont with 31 points. In its most recent game on Thursday, Murray State secured a 74-72 victory over Indiana State. Javon Jackson scored 22 points in Murray State's victory, leading the team.

Belmont vs. Murray State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Belmont -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Belmont -123
• Moneyline underdog: Murray State +101
• Over/Under: 166.5 points

How to watch Belmont vs. Murray State

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Belmont vs. Murray State

• Belmont and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's total (166.5 points) six times this season.
• There have been 10 Murray State games that ended with a combined score over 166.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 168.6 points per game, 2.1 points more than the point total of 166.5 for this matchup.
• The 151.9 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 14.6 less than the 166.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Belmont's games is 156.3 points, 10.2 fewer than the over/under of 166.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 2.4 points higher than the average over/under in Murray State's games this season of 164.1.

Betting the Spread: Belmont vs. Murray State

• Belmont is 15-11-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, the Bruins have been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more 24 times and are 13-11 ATS in those matchups.
• In Murray State's 27 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Racers have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread twice.
• At home this year, Murray State is 11-2 overall and 8-5 against the spread.
• This season, as a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home, Murray State is 8-5 ATS.
• Belmont is 7-5 against the spread, and 10-2 overall, in away games.
• On the road, as 1.5-point favorites or more, Belmont is 5-5 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Belmont vs. Murray State

• Belmont has won 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bruins are 20-4 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Belmont, based on the moneyline, is 55.2%.
• Murray State has been victorious in two of the five contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This year, the Racers have won two of five games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
• Murray State has an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Belmont vs. Murray State

• Pick ATS: Belmont (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (166.5)
  
• Prediction: Belmont 82 - Murray State 75