Baylor vs. Kansas State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17

The Baylor Bears (13-12, 3-9 Big 12) are favored, by 3.5 points, versus the Kansas State Wildcats (10-15, 1-11 Big 12) on February 17, 2026 at Bramlage Coliseum. The Wildcats are struggling right now, having lost six in a row and going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The over/under is set at 159.5 in the matchup.

Baylor is coming off of an 82-71 loss to Louisville in its last outing on Saturday. In Baylor's loss, Isaac Williams led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding two rebounds and three assists). Kansas State is coming off of a 78-64 loss to Houston in its last outing on Saturday. PJ Haggerty totaled 23 points, five rebounds and two assists for Kansas State.

Baylor vs. Kansas State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas
• Spread favorite: Baylor -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Baylor -174
• Moneyline underdog: Kansas State +143
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Baylor vs. Kansas State

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Baylor vs. Kansas State

• Baylor and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Tuesday's over/under of 159.5 points 12 times this season.
• A total of 11 of Kansas State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 159.5 points this season.
• The Bears average 83.4 points per game against the Wildcats' 80.2, amounting to 4.1 points over the contest's over/under of 159.5.
• The 156.8 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 2.7 fewer than the 159.5 total in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest, 159.5 points, is the same as the average over/under in Baylor's games this season.
• Kansas State's games have an average over/under of 160.9 points this season, 1.4 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Baylor vs. Kansas State

• Against the spread, Baylor is 10-14-0 this year.
• The Bears have an against the spread record of 6-4 in their 10 games when favored by 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Kansas State's 25 games this year, it has 10 wins against the spread.
• The Wildcats have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more nine times this year and are 4-5 ATS in those games.
• At home this year, Kansas State is 3-12 against the spread and 8-7 overall.
• At home, Kansas State is 3-6 ATS as a 3.5-point underdog or more.
• Baylor is 2-5 overall, and 3-4 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Baylor vs. Kansas State

• Baylor has won 10, or 83.3%, of the 12 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bears have a record of 7-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -174 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Baylor has a 63.5% chance to win.
• Kansas State has come away with two wins in the 14 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Wildcats have a win-loss record of 1-8 with odds of +143 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Kansas State has a 41.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Baylor vs. Kansas State

• Pick ATS: Kansas State (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (159.5)
  
• Prediction: Baylor 76 - Kansas State 75