Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

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The Baltimore Ravens have a forecast 60% chance to win against The Miami Dolphins with a spread of -1.5/1.5 and an over/under of 43.5. The Baltimore Ravens are 0 - 0 against The Miami Dolphins in the 2021-22 Season.

— Thursday, November 11th Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins

Dunkelindex Free Pick: Miami Dolphins +7.5, OVER

The Baltimore Ravens claimed a narrow victory over the Minnesota Vikings last week. This Thursday, they’ll face a Miami Dolphins team that comes off of a big win of their own.

The Ravens injury list continues to get longer, and more have been added to the injured reserve. In order to get a win over the Dolphins, the rest of the Ravens will have to pull out all the stops.

The Miami Dolphins are clearly the underdog here, and for a good reason. Before their win over the Houston Texans last week, the Dolphins had lost seven straight games. It still hasn’t been decided whether or not Tua Tagovialoa will be able to play in this one.

It will likely be a game-time decision, but if he’s out, Jacoby Brissett will get the start at QB. So, who’s the best bet?

Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens struggle to put away teams

Last week proved just how easily games can get away from the Baltimore Ravens. At one point, they were down by fourteen points; lucky for them, the Vikings are terrible in the second half.

Had the Vikings held onto their lead, the Ravens would be 6-2 right now. In their game before they faced the Vikings, the Ravens lost to the Bengals 41-17, a terrible performance.

As they prepare to face the Dolphins, the Ravens will likely struggle with Miami’s defense. This is, of course, only if the Dolphins find a way to put a body on Lamar Jackson.

They can’t allow him to move freely throughout the pocket. We saw the Vikings contain Lamar Jackson rather well last week. Only they couldn’t keep it up for the entire game, which is why they lost.

Miami Dolphins: Here are the keys to keeping this one close

Now, we can’t say that the Dolphins will win this game confidently. However, they can find a way to keep it within the +7.5-point spread. All they’ll need to do is emulate what the Vikings did and repeat it on Thursday night.

This entails assigning a linebacker to Lamar Jackson that will mirror his exact movements. The second he plans to escape the pocket, the linebacker goes after him.

Since they already know how heavily the Ravens rely on Lamar Jackson, this should be obvious. What isn’t an obvious fix is the fact they need to find some offense of their own.

They rank last in the NFL in rushing yards per game (75.1) and 23rd in passing yards per game. If they plan to keep this one close, they’ll need to find a way to get to the endzone a lot easier.

Our pick for Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins

Taking a look at these two teams, the Dolphins have a realistic chance to cover. Just going off of how close the game was between the Ravens and Vikings is a good example. The Ravens rely too heavily on Lamar Jackson, you take him out of the plan, and that’s it.

The Dolphins are aware that this is their best bet and can form a defense to do it. Watching the tape from Week 9 should be a big help to them as well. The only question is their offense, but this game should stay within 7.5-points.

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