Ball State vs. Buffalo Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

In a contest featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the Buffalo Bulls (14-10, 4-7 MAC) battle the Ball State Cardinals (8-15, 3-7 MAC) at John E. Worthen Arena on February 11, 2026. The Bulls have lost three in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 1.5 points. The point total is 141.5 for the matchup.

Ball State enters this matchup on the heels of a 73-68 win over UL Monroe on Saturday. Kayden Fish's team-leading 17 points paced Ball State in the win. Buffalo's most recent contest was an 81-69 loss to South Alabama on Saturday. Angelo Brizzi scored a team-best 26 points for Buffalo in the loss.

Ball State vs. Buffalo Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: John E. Worthen Arena in Muncie, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Ball State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Ball State -110
• Moneyline underdog: Buffalo -110
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch Ball State vs. Buffalo

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Ball State vs. Buffalo

• Seven of Ball State's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 141.5 points.
• A total of 19 of Buffalo's games have finished with a combined score over 141.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 141.5 is 4.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cardinals (66.9 points per game) and the Bulls (79.3 points per game).
• The 145.9 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 4.4 more than the 141.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Ball State's games is 4.5 fewer points than the over/under of 141.5 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 13.5 points lower than the average over/under in Buffalo's games this season (155.0 points).

Betting the Spread: Ball State vs. Buffalo

• Ball State has eight wins against the spread in 21 games this season.
• This season, the Cardinals have just two against the spread wins in seven games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• In Buffalo's 22 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Bulls have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more 12 times this year and are 6-6 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this season, Ball State is 3-4 against the spread and 3-4 overall.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, Ball State has one win ATS (1-3).
• This year in away games, Buffalo is 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
• As 1.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Buffalo is 4-0 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Ball State vs. Buffalo

• Ball State has been the moneyline favorite in seven games this season and won four (57.1%) of those contests.
• The Cardinals have a record of 4-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for Ball State.
• Buffalo has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 11 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (27.3%) in those games.
• The Bulls have a win-loss record of 3-8 with odds of -110 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Buffalo has a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.