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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 25

25 January 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a defeat, heading into their matchup at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday at 1:30 p.m. ET. Avalanche (-175) at Maple Leafs (+145) appears lopsided, according to the moneyline odds.

Colorado's most recent game was a 7-3 home loss to the Philadelphia Flyers on Jan. 23. Nathan MacKinnon (two assists) and Martin Necas (two assists) both had two points for the Avalanche.

Toronto played at home its last time out on Jan. 23, and fell 6-3 against the Vegas Golden Knights. Matthew Knies had two points (two assists) in that outing for the Maple Leafs.

Before this matchup, here's who we expect to bring home the win in Sunday's hockey game.

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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Avalanche 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.07 goals)

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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Avalanche-Maple Leafs game.

  • Favorite: Avalanche (-175)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+145)

Avalanche Betting Insights

  • The Avalanche are 34-14 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Colorado is 23-9 (winning 71.9% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Avalanche have an implied probability of 63.6% to win.
  • Colorado and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 23 of 49 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have won 10, or 43.5%, of the 23 games they have played as an underdog this season.
  • Toronto has entered three games this season as an underdog by +145 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 40.8% chance to win.
  • Toronto has played 30 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Avalanche Key Stats

  • Colorado's 193 total goals (3.9 per game, on seven assists per contest) lead the league.
  • The Avalanche have allowed 116 total goals (only 2.4 per game), ranking first in NHL play for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +77 goal differential is the best in the league.
  • The 27 power-play goals the Avalanche have scored this season rank 21st in the NHL (on 168 power-play chances).
  • Colorado ranks 27th in the league with a 16.07% power-play conversion rate.
  • The one shorthanded goal the Avalanche have scored this season rank 28th among NHL teams.
  • Colorado kills 84.44% of opponent power plays, the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Colorado wins 51% of its faceoffs to rank ninth in the NHL.
  • The Avalanche have an 11.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 12th in the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • With 169 goals (3.3 per game), Toronto has the NHL's eighth-best offense.
  • The Maple Leafs' total of 171 goals given up (3.4 per game) is 25th in the league.
  • it has the 16th-ranked goal differential in the league at -2.
  • The Maple Leafs have 21 power-play goals (32nd in NHL) on 125 chances.
  • Toronto's power-play percentage (16.8) puts the team 25th in the league.
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have three.
  • The 83.46% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fifth in the league.
  • Toronto wins 56.4% of faceoffs, tops in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' 12.3% shooting percentage is fourth in the league.

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