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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 12

12 January 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a victory, heading into their matchup at Ball Arena on Monday at 10 p.m. ET. The bookmakers have made the Avalanche heavy favorites at -238 on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs are at +195.

Colorado won 4-0 at home its last time out on Jan. 10 against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Parker Kelly (two assists) and Gavin Brindley (two assists) were among the four Avalanche skaters who put up two points each.

Toronto won at home in its last game on Jan. 10, 5-0 over the Vancouver Canucks. William Nylander's three points (one goal and two assists) in that outing led the Maple Leafs.

Get ready for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Monday's contest.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Maple Leafs 3 - Avalanche 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Avalanche-Maple Leafs game.

  • Favorite: Avalanche (-238)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+195)

Avalanche Betting Insights

  • The Avalanche have been victorious in 33 of their 43 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (76.7%).
  • Colorado has had 16 games with moneyline odds of -238 or shorter, and won each time.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Avalanche have an implied probability of 70.4% to win.
  • In 19 of 44 matches this season, Colorado and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog 18 times, and won eight, or 44.4%, of those games.
  • Toronto has not entered a game this season with longer odds on the moneyline than +195.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 33.9% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 24 of 44 times.

Avalanche Key Stats

  • Colorado leads the league with 178 total goals (4.0 per game).
  • The Avalanche have conceded 95 total goals (only 2.2 per game), ranking first in league play for the fewest goals against.
  • Its goal differential (+83) leads the league.
  • The 25 power-play goals the Avalanche have recorded this season rank 18th in the NHL (on 151 power-play chances).
  • Colorado's 16.56% power-play conversion rate ranks 26th in the league.
  • The one shorthanded goal the Avalanche have scored this season rank 26th among NHL squads.
  • Colorado kills 85.6% of opponent power plays, the top penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Colorado has the eighth-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 51.4%.
  • The Avalanche make 11.8% of their shots (seventh in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto's 148 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank ninth in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs allow 3.2 goals per game (139 in total), 18th in the NHL.
  • It has the ninth-best goal differential in the league at +9.
  • The Maple Leafs have 19 power-play goals (on 110 chances), 30th in the NHL.
  • Toronto has the NHL's 23rd-ranked power-play percentage (17.27%).
  • The Maple Leafs have three shorthanded goals (13th in NHL).
  • At 85.34%, Toronto has the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Toronto wins 56.7% of faceoffs, No. 1 in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' 12.6% shooting percentage is fourth in the league.

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