Avalanche vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 6

Two of the top teams in the NHL will clash when the Colorado Avalanche (31-3-7, first in Western Conference) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (25-13-3, second in Eastern Conference) on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET. The Lightning are small underdogs, at -105, and the Avalanche are -115.

Colorado's last game was a 2-1 road loss against the Florida Panthers on Jan. 4. Artturi Lehkonen (one goal) and Josh Manson (one assist) were among the three Avalanche skaters who recorded one point each.

In its last game on Jan. 3, Tampa Bay earned a 7-3 road victory over the San Jose Sharks. Nikita Kucherov led the Lightning with five points (one goal and four assists) in that outing.

Ahead of this matchup, here's who we expect to secure the win in Tuesday's hockey action.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 3 - Avalanche 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Avalanche-Lightning matchup.

• Favorite: Avalanche (-115)
• Underdog: Lightning (-105)

Avalanche Betting Insights

• The Avalanche have been victorious in 31 of their 40 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (77.5%).
• Colorado is 31-9 when it has played with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter (77.5% win percentage).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Avalanche have a 53.5% chance to win.
• Colorado's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 18 times.

Lightning Betting Insights

• This season the Lightning have won six of the nine games in which they've been an underdog.
• Tampa Bay is 6-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline in this matchup implies a 51.2% chance of victory for the Lightning.
• Tampa Bay has played 19 games this season with over 6.5 goals.

Avalanche Key Stats

• Colorado's 164 total goals (four per game, on seven assists per outing) lead the league.
• The Avalanche have conceded 89 total goals (only 2.2 per game), the fewest in NHL play.
• Its goal differential (+75) paces the league.
• The 23 power-play goals the Avalanche have recorded this season (to rank 18th in the NHL) have come on 141 power-play chances.
• Colorado's 16.31% power-play conversion rate ranks 26th in the league.
• The one shorthanded goal the Avalanche have scored this season rank 26th among NHL squads.
• Colorado kills 85.59% of opponent power plays, the top penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Colorado wins 50.9% of its faceoffs (12th in NHL).
• The Avalanche connect on 11.6% of their shots (sixth in the league).

Lightning Key Stats

• With 141 goals (3.4 per game), Tampa Bay has the NHL's fourth-best offense.
• The Lightning's total of 109 goals given up (2.7 per game) is third in the league.
• It has the second-best goal differential in the league at +32.
• The Lightning have 25 power-play goals (13th in NHL) on 133 chances.
• Tampa Bay has the NHL's 19th-ranked power-play percentage (18.8%).
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Lightning have three.
• At 83.33%, Tampa Bay has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• At 46.3%, Tampa Bay has the league's 31st-ranked faceoff win rate.
• The Lightning's 12.6% shooting percentage is third in the league.