Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Betting Preview/Prop Picks
10 November 2022
Time: 8:15 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.897; Carolina 129.672
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 6; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Over
The Atlanta Falcons enter this game with a record of 4-5. On the road this season, they have a 1-3 record and are facing an NFC South rival. The good news for Atlanta is they have the centerpiece of their offense back. With Cordarrelle Patterson back in the lineup, they should be in good shape here.
The Carolina Panthers have a 2-7 record this season but are 2-3 at home. With the loss of Christian McCaffrey, the Panthers are in a tough spot. They do have a bit of a bright spot at the QB position, though.
The last time the Panthers won a game was weeks ago against the Buccaneers. Today, they'll have a chance to take down another division rival.
Atlanta Falcons: Falcons' run game is the key to victory
If there is one thing the Atlanta Falcons do really well, it's run the ball. Behind Patterson, the Falcons are averaging 162.9 rushing yards per game.
They rank fourth in the NFL in this category and ninth in points per game. Their record might not show it, but the Falcons are putting up an average of 24.1 points per game.
The problem in Atlanta is their defense, something they'll want to address this off-season. On average, the Falcons are giving up 25 points per game.
With a defense performing this poorly, it has been hard for them to secure wins. Still, the Falcons are 2-2 in their last four games, their most recent being a loss to the Chargers.
Carolina Panthers: Panthers' defense could be a big problem
P.J. Walker has been named the starter again for the game against the Atlanta Falcons. Walker's definitely their best option, even with Baker Mayfield on the sidelines.
One thing that is important to remember is that the Panthers have already played the Falcons. Just a few weeks ago, the Panthers were on the road and lost to Atlanta 37-34.
In that game, Walker threw for 317 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Had the Panthers' defense played up to par, they could've won the game.
Instead, they allowed the Falcons to score thirteen points in the fourth quarter. As a team, the Panthers put up 478 yards, but it didn't result in a win. This time, they'll look to flip the script against the Panthers.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Pick
This one is likely to remain pretty close, which is why we're taking the Carolina Panthers. Going back to their last game against the Falcons, they kept it within three points.
Today, they're three-point underdogs, and they're playing at home. Because of this, we think the Panthers are the better option tonight.
The Atlanta Falcons are a great offensive team, but they have a lot of trouble defensively. This is one of the main reasons why we'll take the Carolina Panthers. It's very likely to be a high-scoring game as well, so take the over too.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Carolina Panthers +3, OVER
Prop Picks
Carolina (-120) OVER 19.5 Points
Atlanta is allowing 25.0 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 26 in the NFL. That average increases to 27.5 points per game on the road. Scores have gone OVER in four of the Falcons’ last five games following a loss.
With Dunkel predicting a Carolina victory by the score of 30-24, take the Panthers (-120) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 19.5 points versus the Falcons.
Marcus Mariota (-115) OVER 157.5 Passing Yards
Carolina is allowing 231.0 passing yards per game on defense, which ranks No. 21 in the NFL. That average increases to 241.2 passing yards per game at home.
With Dunkel predicting the final score going OVER the Vegas point total, take Mariota (-115) to finish OVER 157.5 passing yards against the Panthers.
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