Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Betting Preview/Prop Picks

05 August 2022

Two teams that lead the NL East will face off tonight when the Atlanta Braves face the New York Mets. With a record of 63-43, the Braves rank second in the division and are 4.5-games behind the Mets.

Unfortunately, they’ve lost two games in a row, including last night’s 6-4 loss to New York. To get back on track and chip away at the Mets’ lead, they’ll need to get a win tonight.

The New York Mets are on a two-game winning streak after last night’s win. Boasting a record of 67-38, the Mets lead the NL East and are looking to improve their record. Two really strong pitchers will get the start tonight, which we’ll go over below.

This game should be an entertaining one to watch, with the Mets favored at -137. Can they come away with another win at home?



New York Mets -137

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Atlanta Braves: As the underdog, Atlanta has a lot to prove

This is a tough spot for the Atlanta Braves to be in, especially after last night. If they lose, the gap in the NL East continues to grow. However, when looking at the statistics, they fall behind the Mets in nearly every category.

Getting the start on the mound tonight is Ian Anderson, who has a 9-6 record with a 4.99 ERA. His ERA is concerning, but he’s done well this season.

At the plate, the Braves have a batting average of .249, ranking 10th in the league. Although it’s a great average, they fall short of what the Mets are bringing tonight.

In last night’s game, the Braves allowed the Mets to score five runs through the first three innings. If they want any chance of winning tonight, they’ll have to make sure that doesn’t happen.

New York Mets: Taijuan Walker gets the start in tonight’s game

When it comes to pitching, the Mets have one of the best rotations in the league. Starting the game tonight is Taijuan Walker, who has a record of 9-2 this season.

Although his record is rather impressive, his ERA of 2.79 is far more noteworthy. Walker has been able to maintain an under 3.00 ERA through 103.1 innings. In terms of pitching, the advantage goes to the Mets.

It’s also worth mentioning that Walker has an incredible batting team to back him up. This season, the New York Mets have a team average of .257, ranking 5th in the league.

They have an on-base percentage of .328, ranking fourth overall, and have scored 498 runs (5th). With a team this efficient, it’s hard to imagine the Braves coming away with a win tonight.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Betting Pick

After looking at each of these teams, the New York Mets are the best pick in this situation. The Braves are starting a struggling pitcher with an above 4.00 ERA.

Along with that, the Mets are playing at home, where they have a record of 32-17. Adding that to the fact that the Mets have one of the best batting groups in MLB, and you’ve got your pick. 

New York comes in at -137, which are pretty good odds, although they’re a favorite. We’re going to take the over in this game as well. In four of New York’s last five games, the total has gone over.

More importantly, in five of their last six home games against the Braves, the total has gone over as well.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: New York Mets -137, OVER

Prop Picks

NY Mets (+105) OVER 4.5 Runs

NY is averaging 4.75 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 4 in the league, with a team BA of .257, which ranks No. 5. Scores have gone OVER in five of the Mets’ last six home games versus Atlanta.

With Dunkel predicting an NY home victory by the score of 6-4, take the Mets (+105) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 4.5 runs against the Braves.

NY Mets (+100) Most Hits

NY is averaging 8.76 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 5 in the league. NY is allowing 7.76 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 6 in the league. That average decreases to 7.51 hits per 9 innings at home.

With Dunkel predicting a Mets home win while going OVER their Vegas run total, take NY (+100) to finish with more hits than Atlanta.

Pete Alonso (-105) OVER 0.5 RBI

Alonso has 91 RBI in 104 games played this season, which ranks No. 1 on the Mets and No. 2 in the league. The NY first baseman has 8 RBI in 33 at-bats with an .809 OPS versus Atlanta.  

With Dunkel predicting the final score going OVER the Vegas total, take Alonso (-105) to finish OVER 0.5 RBI versus the Braves.

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