Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview/Prop Picks
16 May 2022

The Atlanta Braves, third in the NL East, face off against the Milwaukee Brewers today. After suffering a rough 7-3 loss to the Padres, the Braves look to bounce back tonight.
However, they're facing one of the better batting teams in Major League Baseball. The Braves will need to be on their A-game tonight, especially with the Brewers coming off a big win.
Although they're one of the better teams in MLB, the Brewers have struggled recently as well. They have a record of 22-13 but have lost two of their last five games.
The losses aren't necessarily concerning aside from the 14-11 loss to the Cincinnati Reds. Tonight, they can add another win to their record and further distance themselves in the NL Central.
Atlanta Braves: Pitching will be the key to Atlanta's success
As it usually turns out, having a strong pitcher on the mound is a game-changer. Tonight, as they face the Brewers, the Braves will send out one of their best.
The 3-1 Ian Anderson will get the start tonight. Anderson has an ERA of 4.20 over the course of 30 pitched innings. In those 30 innings, he's thrown 22 strikeouts. He faces a tough test in the Brewers batters, however.
With an injury potentially keeping Ronald Acuna Jr. sidelined, the Braves will turn to the rest of their lineup. A few players stand out in this regard; this includes Austin Riley, who leads the team in home runs.
Riley not only has seven home runs this season but an ERA of .244, which is also impressive. For the Braves to win, batting and pitching must come together collectively.
Milwaukee Brewers: Freddy Peralta will get the start tonight
The Brewers have had a rough last five but are looking to turn the tides. After spending a sizable amount of time on the road, they return home to face the Braves.
Similar to the Braves, the Brewers will start one of their best pitchers. Peralta has an ERA of 4.40, but his ERA isn't too concerning for us. What is, is how many strikeouts Peralta has thrown to start the season.
In his 28.2 innings pitched, Peralta has thrown 38 strikeouts and allowed just one home run. Hopefully, the Braves have been studying his pitches; otherwise, they could be in trouble.
Along with a strong pitcher on the mound, the Brewers have some good batters as well. As a team, the Brewers have a batting average of .236 and an on-base percentage of .312 this season.
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick
After looking at what each of these teams brings to the contest, it's time to make our pick. The Brewers, finally back at home, have great batting and a strong pitcher to match.
However, Ian Anderson and the Braves are also bringing quite a bit of heat tonight. Anderson has been successful against good batters, so we'll take the Braves to win, but by a small margin.
Fortunately, we can just bet the +111 moneyline tonight on the Braves. We'll also pair this with the over eight runs, considering how each offense has performed. Over the course of Atlanta's last six games, the total has gone over five times.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Atlanta Braves +111, OVER
Prop Picks
Atlanta (-145) OVER 3.5 Runs
Atlanta is averaging 4.24 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 16 in the league, while averaging 1.28 HRs, which ranks No. 6. Scores have gone OVER in four of the Braves’ last five road games.
With Dunkel predicting an Atlanta victory by the score of 6-5, take the Braves (-145) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Brewers.
Dansby Swanson (+155) OVER 0.5 Runs
Swanson has scored 19 runs in 35 games, which ranks No. 1 on the Braves and tied for No. 34 in MLB. The veteran shortstop has scored four runs in nine at-bats so far against Milwaukee.
With Dunkel predicting an Atlanta road win with the final score going OVER the Vegas total, take Swanson (+155) to go OVER 0.5 runs against the Brewers.
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