Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 15

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (12-5, 4-1 Sun Belt) visit the South Alabama Jaguars (12-5, 3-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 15, 2026. The Red Wolves are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 153.5.

Arkansas State won its last game 83-82 against Texas State on Saturday. Chandler Jackson scored a team-leading 16 points for Arkansas State in the victory. In its most recent outing on Saturday, South Alabama earned an 87-71 win over Georgia Southern. Adam Olsen scored a team-best 22 points for South Alabama in the win.

Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Mitchell Center in Mobile, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Arkansas State -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Arkansas State -165
• Moneyline underdog: South Alabama +140
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Arkansas State vs. South Alabama

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Arkansas State vs. South Alabama

• This season, 11 of Arkansas State's 15 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 153.5 points.
• There have been three South Alabama games that ended with a combined score over 153.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the matchup of 153.5 is 3.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Red Wolves (83.3 points per game) and the Jaguars (74.0 points per game).
• This matchup's total is 8.1 fewer points than the 145.4 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Arkansas State has a 161.3 average over/under in its games this season, 7.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 12.1 points higher than the average over/under in South Alabama's games this season of 141.4.

Betting the Spread: Arkansas State vs. South Alabama

• Against the spread, Arkansas State is 10-5-0 this year.
• The Red Wolves have an ATS record of 5-2 in their seven games when favored by 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• South Alabama has played 15 games, with six wins against the spread.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in four chances).
• At home this season, South Alabama has one win against the spread and is 2-1 overall.
• At home, South Alabama is winless ATS (0-1) as a 3.5-point underdog or more.
• Arkansas State is 6-3 against the spread, and 5-4 overall, away from home.
• Arkansas State is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 3.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Arkansas State vs. South Alabama

• Arkansas State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 11 times this season and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.
• The Red Wolves are 6-1 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arkansas State has a 62.3% chance to win.
• South Alabama has come away with three wins in the seven contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Jaguars have been a moneyline underdog of -165 or more four times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies South Alabama has a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.