Arkansas vs. Missouri Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks (19-7, 9-4 SEC) square off against the Missouri Tigers (18-8, 8-5 SEC) as 9.5-point favorites on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup's point total is 160.5.

Arkansas is coming off of a 117-115 OT loss to Alabama in its last outing on Wednesday. In Arkansas' loss, Darius Acuff Jr. led the way with a team-high 49 points (adding five rebounds and five assists). Missouri enters this game on the heels of an 81-80 win against Vanderbilt on Wednesday. Jayden Stone scored a team-best 19 points for Missouri in the win.

Arkansas vs. Missouri Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas
• Spread favorite: Arkansas -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Arkansas -529
• Moneyline underdog: Missouri +380
• Over/Under: 160.5 points

How to watch Arkansas vs. Missouri

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Arkansas vs. Missouri

• Arkansas and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (160.5 points) 19 times this season.
• In Missouri's 26 games this season, 10 finished with more combined points than Saturday's total of 160.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 169.9 points per game, 9.4 points more than the over/under of 160.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams give up a combined 152.5 points per game, eight points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Arkansas has had a 167.8-point over/under in its games this season, 7.3 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 5.9 points higher than the average over/under in Missouri's games this season of 154.6.

Betting the Spread: Arkansas vs. Missouri

• Arkansas has played 26 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Razorbacks have been installed as favorites by a 9.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 7-3 ATS in those games.
• Missouri is 11-15-0 against the spread this year.
• The Tigers have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 9.5 points or more (in three chances).
• At home this year, Arkansas is 10-4 against the spread and 13-1 overall.
• At home, as a 9.5-point favorite or more, Arkansas is 6-3 ATS.
• Missouri is 4-4 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, in away games.
• Missouri is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 9.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Arkansas vs. Missouri

• Arkansas has been the moneyline favorite in 17 games this season and won 16 (94.1%) of those contests.
• The Razorbacks are undefeated in nine games this season when favored by -529 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 84.1% chance of a victory for Arkansas.
• Missouri has been victorious in five of the 10 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Tigers have been listed as an underdog of +380 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• Missouri has an implied victory probability of 20.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.