Alabama vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 13

The No. 0 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-5, 1-2 SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-6, 2-1 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 13, 2026. The Bulldogs are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 173.5 points.

In its last time out, Alabama lost 92-88 to Texas on Saturday. Labaron Philon's team-high 21 points paced Alabama in the losing effort. Mississippi State fell in its most recent outing 92-68 against Kentucky on Saturday. Josh Hubbard's team-leading 20 points paced Mississippi State in the losing effort.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 13, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: Alabama -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Alabama -206
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +170
• Over/Under: 173.5 points

How to watch Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Alabama and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's over/under (173.5 points) 10 times this season.
• This season, three of Mississippi State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 173.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 173.5 points per game, matching the over/under of 173.5 for this contest.
• The 159.5 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 14.0 fewer than the 173.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Alabama has had a 176.2-point over/under in its games this season, 2.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 16.7 points higher than the average over/under in Mississippi State's games this season of 156.8.

Betting the Spread: Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• In Alabama's 16 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Crimson Tide have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 5-5 ATS in those matchups.
• In Mississippi State's 16 games this year, it has six wins against the spread.
• The Bulldogs have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 4.5 points or more (in three chances).
• At home this season, Mississippi State is 3-5 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
• At home, as a 4.5-point underdog or more, Mississippi State has one win ATS (1-4).

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Alabama has been the moneyline favorite in 10 games this season and won eight (80%) of those contests.
• This season, the Crimson Tide have won eight of their nine games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -206 on the moneyline.
• Alabama has a 67.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has come away with one win in the three contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Bulldogs have come away with a win one times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 37% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (173.5)
  
• Prediction: Alabama 90 - Mississippi State 88