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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

28 December 2022 By Cole Paganelli

The Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2, 0-0 SEC) go on the road to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-1, 0-0 SEC).

Alabama bounced back from losing to 15th-ranked Gonzaga to get an 84-64 home win over Jackson State in their last game. The Crimson Tide improved to 2-0 on the road after their upset over the top-ranked Houston Cougars 71-65 on December 10.

The Bulldogs won their first 11 games before losing at home against Drake 58-52 last Tuesday night. Mississippi State shot poorly in the second half while scoring just 21 points. They also had 17 turnovers and shot under 40% for the game.

The Bulldogs have yet to play a nationally-ranked team but have victories over Utah, Minnesota, and Marquette and have one of the country's top defenses.

 

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Alabama Crimson Tide -2.00 -110

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Crimson Tide Have An Easy Night

The Crimson Tide is the favorite to win the SEC this season and has had one of the most demanding schedules in the country through their first 12 games.

They should also have Noah Clowney back in the lineup after he missed the last game with an illness. Alabama's firepower should be more than enough to surpass the Bulldogs' solid defense. 

Bulldogs Are Trying To Rebound

The Bulldogs haven't performed well against the spread at home, where they're 0-6-1 in the last seven games. Mississippi State hasn't faced this level of competition up to this point and is coming off a loss at home to a team from the Missouri Valley Conference.

They will also need to score more than their 68.3 points per game average if they hope to keep up with this Alabama team. 

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds

  • Las Vegas Odds: Alabama -2
  • Over/Under: 138

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Trends

  • Alabama is 0-5 against the spread in the last five road games against the Bulldogs
  • The Bulldogs are 1-6 against the spread in their previous seven games
  • Alabama is the top-ranked team in the country, averaging 47.73 rebounds per game
  • The total has hit under in 12 of the last 13 games for Mississippi State
  • Alabama holds opponents to 23.9% shooting from three-point range on the road

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Alabama has had some tough matchups early in the season and will find themselves in a competitive matchup in tonight's contest. Their superior rebounding and outside shooting will extend the Bulldogs' defense and give them a lot of second-chance opportunities. 

The Bulldogs only give up 52.6 points per game, ranked third in the country, and their opponents only shoot 35.8% from the field and 28.4% from beyond the arc. Mississippi State also ranks eighth in the nation with 10.2 steals per game. 

The experience and superior bench of Alabama will be the difference in this game and their ability to get more offensive rebounds. Taking -2 on Alabama is an easy call.

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All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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