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2024 Daytona 500 Betting Preview

17 February 2024 By Dunkel Index

The NASCAR Cup Series formally opens its season at its traditional home with Speedweek from the Daytona International Speedway, culminating with the Daytona 500.

Dubbed “the Great American Race,” The Daytona 500 is one of the most significant motorsports races of any category. Daytona provides exciting action on track and for bettors with many options, from a variety of prop bets and special betting lines to simply who will win the Daytona 500, the focus of our preview. 

While NASCAR has run its annual preseason Clash event, the NASCAR Cup Series doesn’t truly begin until the cars run at Daytona. With single-lap qualifying on Wednesday night and the Duels at Daytona setting the rest of the grid for Sunday’s main event, we’ll preview who we think has the potential to win the Daytona 500 and the Dunkel Index’s pick for the winning driver.

 

DAYTONA 500 Start Time & Race Info

  • Event: DAYTONA 500 at Daytona International Speedway
  • Where: Daytona Beach, Florida
  • When: Sunday, February 18 at 2:30 PM ET
  • TV: FOX

 

DAYTONA 500 Starting Lineup & Odds

Starting Pos. Driver Team Odds to Win Odds Rank
1 Joey Logano Team Penske +900 2
2 Michael McDowell Front Row Motorsports +1800 8
3 Tyler Reddick 23XI Racing +2200 14
4 Christopher Bell Joe Gibbs Racing +1800 8
5 Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports +1200 5
6 Austin Cindric Team Penske +2800 17
7 Alex Bowman Hendrick Motorsports +3500 19
8 Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing +800 1
9 Carson Hocevar Spire Motorsports +7000 31
10 John H. Nemechek LEGACY Motor Club +7000 31
11 Erik Jones LEGACY Motor Club +3000 18
12 Harrison Burton Wood Brothers +5500 23
13 Daniel Suárez Trackhouse Racing +6500 28
14 Zane Smith Spire Motorsports +8000 33
15 Ty Gibbs Joe Gibbs Racing +1800 8
16 Brad Keselowski Roush Fenway Keselowski Racing +1000 3
17 Kyle Larson Hendrick Motorsports +1400 7
18 William Byron Hendrick Motorsports +2200 14
19 Chris Buescher Roush Fenway Keselowski Racing +2000 11
20 Chase Briscoe Stewart Haas Racing +6000 27
21 Ross Chastain Trackhouse Racing +2200 14
22 Justin Haley Rick Ware Racing +8000 33
23 Jimmie Johnson LEGACY Motor Club +5500 23
24 Bubba Wallace 23XI Racing +2000 11
25 Ryan Preece Stewart Haas Racing +6500 28
26 Kaz Grala Front Row Motorsports
27 Martin Truex Jr Joe Gibbs Racing +2000 11
28 AJ Allmendinger Kaulig Racing +5500 23
29 Corey LaJoie Spire Motorsports +3500 19
30 Josh Berry Stewart Haas Racing +5500 23
31 Todd Gilliland Front Row Motorsports +9000 36
32 Ryan Blaney Team Penske +1100 4
33 Austin Dillon Richard Childress Racing +4000 22
34 Kyle Busch Richard Childress Racing +1200 5
35 Ricky Stenhouse Jr JTG Daugherty Racing +3500 19
36 Riley Herbst Rick Ware Racing +9000 36
37 Daniel Hemric Kaulig Racing +10000 38
38 Noah Gragson Stewart Haas Racing +6500 28
39 Anthony Alfredo Beard Motorsports +10000 38
40 BJ McLeod Live Fast Motorsports +13000 40
40 David Ragan Roush Fenway Keselowski Racing +8000 33
41 JJ Yeley NY Racing Team

 

DAYTONA 500 Favorites

  • Denny Hamlin (Odds to Win: +800)
  • Joey Logano (Odds to Win: +900)
  • Brad Keselowski (Odds to Win: +1000)
  • Ryan Blaney (Odds to Win: +1100)
  • Chase Elliott (Odds to Win: +1200)

 

DUNKEL INDEX TOP 10

Here are the Top 10 drivers for this event, according to the Dunkel Index:

M. Truex Jr287.764
Kyle Busch288.672
D. Hamlin288.708
R. Chastain289.219
R. Blaney289.290
T. Reddick289.572
C. Bell289.657
K. Larson290.159
B. Wallace290.386
W. Byron290.847

 

WINNER: MARTIN TRUEX JR (+2000)

Still looking for his first win at Daytona, Truex Jr's  best finish was second place in 2016, narrowly missing out on victory to Denny Hamlin in a thrilling finish. Truex Jr has consistenly been a strong competitor at Daytona and will be making his 20th start. Truex Jr made three trips to Victory Lane in 2023, a substantial improvement upon his winless campaign the year prior. Rated No. 1 in this week's Dunkel Index, Truex Jr at +2000 is our pick to win.

 

BEST ODDS TOP 5 FINISH: DENNY HAMLIN (+100)

 Rated No. 3 in the Dunkel Index

 

BEST ODDS TOP 10 FINISH: TYLER REDDICK (-120)

Rated No. 6 in the Dunkel Index

 

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