2022 PGA Sentry Tournament Preview/Player Props
04 January 2022
After just a short month off from golf, players are looking to claim a victory against top names in the game. The Sentry Tournament of Champions is a unique event and is usually a close-fought battle.
This event only features winners from the 2021 season, with 39 making a case to win here. The only player not present is Rory Mcllroy, who decided not to participate.
Date: Jan 6–9, 2022
Course: Kapalua Plantation Course
This year’s Sentry Tournament is a bit difficult to decipher for a few reasons. You have a reigning US Open champion in Jon Rahm, and Harris English is a returning champion for this event.
In addition, Justin Thomas has two victories, and Patrick Cantlay has one here. These two had a successful PGA Tour last season, where they won three titles together, and it could also play into effect here.
Head to Head Matchup to Watch
Jon Rahm (-25.019) and Harris English (-30.252) make a great duo to watch. Rahm has success from the US Open and also happens to be the best-ranked golfer in the world right now.
For English, he is the returning champion of this event and is currently sitting at 12th in the world rankings. His game lately has correlated with another chance at a victory here.
Dunkel Index For This Event
The Dunkel Index shows these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:
1 Patrick Cantlay -16.050
2 Viktor Hovland -18.012
3 Bryson DeChambeau -18.380
4 Sam Burns -21.247
5 Justin Thomas -21.728
6 Collin Morikawa -22.279
7 Cameron Smith -23.366
8 Sungjae Im -23.914
9 Talor Gooch -24.023
10 Daniel Berger -24.125
*index is subject to changes
Golfers That Could Win
One golfer to keep an eye on is Xander Schauffele (-26.245). He won his first attempt at this course back in 2019. He was set to win in 2020, but he three-putt on the last hole of the tournament and lost in a playoff. His performance last season finished with him tied for fifth, which makes him a very attractive pick here.
Another potential long shot that deserves some attention is Sungjae Im (-23.914). After landing the most birdie putts on Tour last season, he is a solid choice to win at an event requiring many birdie putts. In addition, he also finished fifth at this event last year for his debut.
Potential Winning Pick
Justin Thomas (-21.728) has also consistently been good at Kapalua Plantation Course. With two victories three years apart from one another, he has the most wins on paper against the current field.
This particular course fits Thomas’s game well, with shooting low scores and the ability to sink birdies. He makes a very good case to win once again if he can continue to sink birdie putts.
Top 10 Finish: Bryson DeChambeau (-120)
Coming off a US Open championship in 2020, DeChambeau didn’t achieve the same level of success in 2021.
He did win the Arnold Palmer in March and followed that up with a tie for third at THE PLAYERS Championship before hitting a rough patch that included a tie for 46th at the Masters, 38th at the PGA Championship and 26th at the US Open.
As always, he continued to bomb it off the tee while finishing first in driving distance (323.7) and third in birdie average (4.50). That combo enabled him to finish in a tie for 7th in this tournament last year.
Rated No. 3 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll go with DeChambeau (-120) to get off to a good start this year with another Top 10 finish at Kapalua.
Top 20 Finish: Cameron Smith (-205)
Smith qualified for this week’s tournament with his third victory on Tour at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.
He came close to adding another victory with a second at The Northern Trust while finishing in the Top 5 at the FedEx St. Jude and Genesis Invitational. It was part of a season that saw the Australian finish third in scoring average (68.933) and ninth in birdie average (5.42).
Smith also has a few tournaments under his belt this season, including a pair of Top 10 finishes at the CJ Cup and RSM Classic.
Rated No. 7 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll take Smith (-205) to pick up where he left off and finish in the Top 20.