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2022 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview/Prop Picks

26 January 2022

The 2022 Farmers Insurance Open takes place at Torrey Pines, where the best of the best usually have to perform and take over the event. As you will see below, the top names in golf will take the stage. 

Even with big names in the field, it will be hard to ignore the middle of the pack. Check out to see who has a shot and who can make the biggest difference. 

Tournament Details

Date: Jan 26–29, 2022
Course: Torrey Pines South Course and others
Watch on: CBS, GOLF
Purse: $8,400,000

Betting Overview 

The first two days of this event will be played at both North and South courses of Torrey Pines. However, after the cut is made, the last two rounds are played at the South course. 

The North course is 500 yards shorter than the South, meaning better opportunities for players that do not drive as strong or allow for mistakes off the tee. This also makes betting options a bit different once the two rounds have commenced. 

Head to Head Matchup to Watch 

Justin Thomas (-17.311) and Jon Rahm (-24.652) make the most attractive favorites on everyone’s list. But head to head, this could be the story to watch unfold. 

Rahm leads the pack once again as the best golfer in the world, while Thomas sits at sixth. Thomas has what it takes to beat him here and potentially move up in the rankings. 

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:

1    Justin Thomas     -17.311
2    Daniel Berger    -18.982
3    Xander Schauffele    -21.394
4    Sam Burns    -23.681
5    Marc Leishman    -24.540
6    Jon Rahm    -24.652
7    Jordan Spieth    -25.269
8    Brooks Koepka    -25.951
9    Bryson DeChambeau    -26.062
10    Billy Horschel    -26.071

*index is subject to changes 

Golfers That Could Win 

Bryson DeChambeau (-26.062) is a “long shot” for this event. He did not perform here last year, but he did engage in excellent play in the 2021 U.S. Open during the first three rounds (at Torrey Pines). However, his game fell apart in the final round, and was unable to stay consistent. 

Xander Schauffele (-21.394) came in a four-way tie for second at this event last season. Based on the current field, he has another opportunity to repeat success and even take the victory. Throwing some money towards Schauffele could prove to be worth it for the seventh-ranked golfer in the world.

Potential Winning Pick 

Daniel Berger (-18.982) offers one of the more complete packages at this course. Compared to the field, he has the best ball-striking here over the last 20 rounds. 

In addition, his short game will be key in both the North and South courses. Currently 16th in the world and with an impressive Ryder Cup performance last season, you should expect to see an outstanding performance.

Prop Picks

Head-To-Head: Marc Leishman (+100) Over Dustin Johnson

Leishman captured this tournament in 2020 and is off to another strong start this year with Top 10 finishes in the Fortinet Championship, Shriner’s Children’s Open and Sentry Tournament of Champions. Johnson, meanwhile, will be making his first appearance on Tour since a tie for 45th at the CJ Cup back in October.

With Leishman rated No. 5 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Johnson at No. 12, go with the Australian at plus money (+100) to get the better of this head-to-head matchup in Torrey Pines.

Head-To-Head: Jordan Spieth (-120) Over Justin Rose

Spieth is looking for a better performance in San Diego after missing the cut last year and comes in with a pair of Top 20 finishes in his last five tournaments. Rose struggled in the second round of the American Express last week and finished in a disappointing tie for 33rd.

With Spieth rated No. 7 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Rose at No. 24, take the former major champ at a solid price (-120) to win his head-to-head against Rose.

Head-To-Head: Billy Horschel (+105) Over Max Homa

Horschel has been a little bit of a wild card at Torrey Pines with Top 10 finishes in 2016 and 2019, while missing the cut last year. He does come in having made all three of his cuts so far this season. Homa had a good California swing last year, including a win at the Genesis Invitational. But he has been inconsistent so far this year with a tie for 72nd at the CJ Cup and missing the cut at the RSM Classic.

With Horschel rated No. 10 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Homa at No. 33, the former Florida Gator looks to be another good plus-money pick (+105) to take his head-to-head contest with Homa.

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