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2021 Tour Championship Betting Preview/Prop Plays

31 August 2021

The final event of the PGA Tour is being held in Atlanta, Georgia, with the top 30 golfers competing for the win. As noted, the top golfers will be competing, so this is a star-studded event that will definitely be a close matchup for many. 

This course is also a Donald Ross redesign, which many have played well on, and others have struggled. The structure of the event is also interesting and could change the outcome in the blink of an eye. 

Tournament Details

Date: Sep 2–5, 2021

Course: East Lake Golf Course

Watch on: NBC, GOLF

Betting Overview 

This event is rather unique in all of golf simply because the best golfers are awarded points without ever striking a ball. For example, Patrick Cantalay leads with a 10-under, and then the second player will have 8-under. 

This slowly continues on until you reach players 26-30, in which they start at even par. With the way this format is set up, which changed in 2019, the top five golfers have the best chance at winning. 

The best chance for a bettor here is to spread out your picks within several players. Below you will see potential picks that could win. 

Head to Head Matchup to Watch 

Patrick Cantlay (-24.450) and Bryson DeChambeau (-26.676) have a great head start on the rest of the field. Cantlay obviously is in first for now, but he might not have it for long. 

DeChambeau is only a few strokes behind him and could be red hot with his driver again like he was in the six hole playoff they participated in the last event. With this in mind, they both could hold the lead for a day or two and make things interesting. 

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following 10 are:

  1. Jon Rahm -22.446
  2. Patrick Cantlay -24.450
  3. Bryson DeChambeau -26.676
  4. Tony Finau -26.732
  5. Abraham Ancer -26.952
  6. Rory McIlroy -27.886
  7. Sam Burns -28.575
  8. Harris English -29.044
  9. Cameron Smith -29.055
  10. Louis Oosthuizen -29.451

*index is subject to changes 

Golfers That Could Win 

Rory McIlroy (-27.886) played just well enough lately to get in on the action. He is a bit of a long shot, but the veteran might make a run for it. 

Tony Finau (-26.732) is right behind Cantlay with just a few strokes. His recent performances might have enough momentum to carry over to a victory. 

 

 

Potential Winning Pick 

Patrick Cantlay (-24.450) has the early advantage with the two stroke lead but that does not guarantee a victory. However, he has earned that top spot for a reason throughout the season. 

In addition, he is coming off of a six hole playoff victory in his last event that moved him to the number one spot. With his recent play, it shows puke hard to ignore him.  

Prop Plays

Top 10 Finish: Tony Finau (-330)

Finau’s win at the Northern Trust two weeks ago was one of the feel good stories of the season. He followed that up with a tie for 15th last week at the BMW Championship that included a final round 63.

The 31-year-old ranks ninth on the Tour in scoring average (69.915). He’s also playing for a spot on the Ryder Cup team.

Rated No. 4 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll stay with the hot Finau (-330) to pick up a Top 10 finish.

Top 20 Finish: Abraham Ancer (-410)

Ancer is finishing with a flourish and looking to cap a stretch that saw him finish in the Top 10 at the Wells Fargo Championship, Travelers Championship and PGA Championship.

The 30-year-old also picked up his first Tour victory with a win at the St. Jude Invitational. He rebounded nicely from a slip at the Northern Trust (64th) by finishing ninth at the BMW Championship.

His accuracy off the tee (sixth in driving accuracy percentage at 71.11%) should serve him well at East Lake Golf Club.

Rated No. 5 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll take Ancer (-410) to stay in contention and finish in the Top 20 on Sunday.

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