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2021 The Northern Trust Betting Preview/Prop Plays

17 August 2021

Golfers will be making their way to New Jersey to compete in The Northern Trust event. This is an excellent opportunity to check out the best golfers competing against one another.

In addition, this is also the FedEx Cup Playoffs. So not only is there quality talent, but it provides one of the best opportunities to bet on golf.

Tournament details

Date: Aug 19–22, 2021
Course: Liberty National Golf Course
Watch on: CBS, GOLF
Purse: $9,500,000

Betting Overview

This event starts off the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The top golfer for the three events total will earn $15 million in purse money.

The first event in the series displays the top golfers in the PGA and should provide an exciting betting opportunity. Many of these golfers have performed well all season, but you can never underestimate a great golfer that has not perfected well yet.

Head to Head Matchup to Watch

The top two golfers to check out are Jon Rahm    (-17.987) and Jordan Spieth (-23.858). These two have very competitive resumes and have great world rankings.

Rahm is arguably a favorite to win here. However, Spieth might have something to say if he can control his iron game.

Dunkel Index For This Event

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:

1    Jon Rahm    -17.987
2    Jordan Spieth    -23.858
3    Harris English    -24.434
4    Collin Morikawa    -25.656
5    Paul Casey    -25.842
6    Daniel Berger    -25.867
7    Rory McIlroy    -26.949
8    Abraham Ancer    -27.099
9    Cameron Smith    -27.333
10    Scottie Scheffler    -27.505

*index is subject to changes

Golfers That Could Win

Collin Morikawa (-25.656) leads in the FedEx Cup Playoffs but is not a huge betting favorite. With that being said, he could be a dark horse to win here and provide you with a great return.

Daniel Berger (-25.867) has been under the radar lately, even though he has played some top-quality golf. In his most recent five events, three of them have had top-eight finishes.

In addition, Berger has performed great when looking at his last 12 rounds. So far, he has put up first place for strokes gained approach and sixth in approaching the green.

Dustin Johnson (-29.473) is the defending champion of this event, but you could argue that he does not have the best momentum compared to the field. This season alone, he has been volatile for bettors.

Potential Winning Pick

Jon Rahm (-17.987), the top-ranked golfer in the world, has not played lately due to issues with Covid-19. However, anytime he enters a competition, he has been at the top of the betting odds.

In 2019, Rahm placed third in this event. Looking at his most recent five events, he has a victory, double top-five finishes, and three top 10 finishes. Look for him to make a great case to win.

Prop Plays

Top 10 Finish: Jon Rahm (+110)

As mentioned above, Rahm comes into this tournament with a sizable margin in the Dunkel Index to win it all. But we’ll also hedge some and take the US Open champ at plus money (+110) to keep up his hot streak and finish in the Top 10.

Top 10 Finish: Harris English (+400)

While the Rahm pick can be classified as a no-brainer, going with English is more of a wild card. He certainly doesn’t garner the kind of attention you would expect from a pro ranked in the Top 20 in the world rankings, Ryder Cup US rankings and FedEx Cup standings.

Much of that is due to the fact that he virtually disappeared from the leaderboards beginning in 2017 when a prolonged slump dropped him all the way to 369th in the world rankings.

But he started to turn it around last year, including a second-place finish here at Liberty National. And he comes into this year’s tournament off a third at the US Open, first at the Travelers and fourth at the St. Jude.

Rated No. 3 in this week's Dunkel Index, we'll take English (+400) to continue to fly under the radar and quietly pick up another Top 10 finish.

Top 20 Finish: Paul Casey (+138)

Like English, Casey has enjoyed success at Liberty National, almost winning the event in 2015 before losing to James Hahn in a sudden-death playoff.

And the 44-year-old Englishman is playing his usual steady golf right now with a fourth-place finish at the Olympics followed by last week’s tie for fifth at the St. Jude.

Rated No. 5 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll stick with Casey to stay among the leaders this week and finish in the Top 20.

Top 20 Finish: Daniel Berger (+150)

Berger has been tearing up the stats sheet and comes into this week ranked in the Top 10 in greens in regulation percentage (70.60) and scoring average (69.739).

And those stats have translated into strong finishes as the 28-year-old out of FSU is coming off a fifth-place finish at the St. Jude and eighth-place at the British Open. That followed a seventh-place finish at the US Open.

Rated No. 6 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we like Berger (+150) to continue his strong play in a loaded field and finish in the Top 20.

Stay tuned for more sports betting previews, and make sure to also check out today's sports betting picks!

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