Panthers vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 29

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning are coming off a loss and a victory, respectively, heading into their matchup at Amerant Bank Arena on Monday at 7:00 PM ET. Panthers (-189) versus Lightning (+155) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Florida fell in a 6-3 defeat on the road its last time out on April 27 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Matthew Tkachuk had two points (two assists) for the Panthers.

Tampa Bay won at home in its most recent game on April 27, 6-3 over the Florida Panthers. Four Lightning skaters recorded three points each in that outing, including Brayden Point (one goal and two assists) and Brandon Hagel (two goals and one assist).

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we predict will come out on top in Monday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 4 - Panthers 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.10 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Panthers vs. Lightning Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Panthers-Lightning matchup.

• Favorite: Panthers (-189)
• Underdog: Lightning (+155)

Panthers Betting Insights

• The Panthers have gone 48-21 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -189 or shorter, Florida is 19-10 (winning 65.5% of the time).
• Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Panthers' implied win probability is 65.4%.
• Florida and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 31 of 86 games this season.

Lightning Betting Insights

• This season the Lightning have won 13 of the 32 games, or 40.6%, in which they've been an underdog.
• Tampa Bay has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +155 moneyline in this game.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 39.2% chance of victory for the Lightning.
• Tampa Bay has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 43 of 86 games this season.

Panthers Key Stats

• Florida's 265 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the 11th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Panthers are the stingiest squad in league action, conceding 198 total goals (only 2.4 per game).
• It has a league-best goal differential of +67.
• The 63 power-play goals the Panthers have put up this season (on 268 power-play chances) are the sixth-most in the NHL.
• Florida has the league's eighth-best power-play conversion rate (23.51%).
• The Panthers have scored eight shorthanded goals this season (10th among NHL squads).
• Florida kills 82.47% of opponent power plays, the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Florida wins 51.3% of its faceoffs (11th in NHL).
• The Panthers have a 9.6% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 23rd in the league.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 288 goals on the season (3.5 per game) rank fifth in the NHL.
• The Lightning give up 3.3 goals per game (267 in total), 22nd in the league.
• it has the 12th-ranked goal differential in the league at +21.
• The Lightning have an NHL-leading 71 power-play goals on 248 chances.
• Tampa Bay's power-play percentage (28.63%) is the best in the league.
• The Lightning have five shorthanded goals (24th in NHL).
• At 83.33%, Tampa Bay has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 51.8% of faceoffs, ninth-best in the NHL.
• The Lightning's 12% shooting percentage is tops in the league.