Bruins vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - May 4

The Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a loss and a win, respectively, heading into their meeting at TD Garden on Saturday at 8:00 PM ET. The Maple Leafs are underdogs on the road, at +111, and the Bruins are -131.

Boston fell 2-1 on the road in its last game on May 2 against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Three Bruins players had one point each, including Morgan Geekie (one goal) and Kevin Shattenkirk (one assist).

Toronto won its most recent game 2-1 at home against the Boston Bruins on May 2. The Maple Leafs got two points each out of Morgan Rielly (two assists) and William Nylander (two goals).

Get ready for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a glimpse at who we project to win the game.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 2 - Bruins 1
• Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 3.03 goals)
  

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Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Bruins-Maple Leafs matchup.

• Favorite: Bruins (-131)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+111)

Bruins Betting Insights

• The Bruins are 39-32 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -131 or shorter, Boston has put together a 36-27 record (winning 57.1% of its games).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Bruins have an implied probability of 56.7% to win.
• Boston's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 5.5 goals 40 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been made an underdog 22 times this season, and won 10, or 45.5%, of those games.
• Toronto has gone 8-7, a 53.3% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline in this matchup implies a 47.4% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto and its opponent have combined to score more than 5.5 goals in 56 of 88 games this season.

Bruins Key Stats

• Boston ranks 13th in the league with 263 goals scored (3.2 per game).
• Defensively, the Bruins have been one of the stingiest units in NHL action, conceding 221 total goals (2.7 per game) to rank fifth.
• It has the league's 10th-best goal differential at +42.
• The 54 power-play goals the Bruins have recorded this season (to rank 15th in the NHL) have come on 243 power-play chances.
• Boston's 22.22% power-play conversion rate ranks 14th in the league.
• The Bruins have scored seven shorthanded goals this season.
• Boston kills 82.46% of opponent power plays, the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Boston wins 49.5% of its faceoffs to rank 21st in the NHL.
• The Bruins make 11% of their shots (eighth in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 298 goals on the season (3.6 per game) rank second in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have allowed 261 total goals this season (3.2 per game), 21st in the NHL.
• Its +37 goal differential ranks 11th in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have 57 power-play goals (on 238 chances), 12th in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (23.95) ranks the team seventh in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have six.
• At 76.89%, Toronto has the 23rd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Toronto is fourth in faceoff win rate in the NHL (53.4%).
• With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Maple Leafs are fifth in the league.