UC Davis vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The UC Davis Aggies (2-1) host the Sacramento State Hornets (2-1) at University Credit Union Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 14, 2025. The Hornets are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 149.5.

UC Davis lost its last outing 67-63 against Portland on Sunday. Isaiah Chappell scored a team-leading 14 points for UC Davis in the loss. Sacramento State lost its last outing 92-87 against UCSB on Tuesday. Mikey Williams' team-high 30 points paced Sacramento State in the loss.

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: University Credit Union Center in Davis, California
• Spread favorite: UC Davis -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: UC Davis -225
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +184
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch UC Davis vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UC Davis vs. Sacramento State

• UC Davis and its opponent combined to score over 149.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in three of 29 games last year.
• Last year, six of Sacramento State's 30 games had a combined total of more than 149.5 points scored.
• These teams averaged a combined 134.2 points per game a season ago, 15.3 fewer points than the total of 149.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 8.7 fewer points per game (140.8) last season than this game's over/under of 149.5 points.
• UC Davis' average point total in outings last year was 138.3, 11.2 points less than the over/under in this game.
• The average over/under for Sacramento State's games in 2024 was 12.7 fewer points than the point total of 149.5 for this game.

Betting the Spread: UC Davis vs. Sacramento State

• UC Davis put together a 15-14-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Aggies were 4-2 ATS last season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• Sacramento State won 12 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing 18 times.
• When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs last year, the Hornets had an ATS record of 10-8-1.
• At home last year, UC Davis was 6-6 overall and 6-6 against the spread.
• UC Davis had two wins ATS (2-2) as a 5.5-point favorite or greater at home last season.
• In away games last season, Sacramento State was 8-6-1 against the spread and 2-13 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: UC Davis vs. Sacramento State

• UC Davis won nine of the 12 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (75%).
• The Aggies went 4-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -225 or shorter (80%).
• UC Davis has an implied moneyline win probability of 69.2% in this contest.
• Last season, Sacramento State was the underdog 27 times and won four, or 14.8%, of those games.
• The Hornets had a record of 3-16 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least +184 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.2% chance of a victory for Sacramento State.