Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 15

The New Mexico State Aggies (3-6) are overwhelming 39.5-point underdogs on Saturday, November 15, 2025 against the No. 21 Tennessee Volunteers (6-3).

The Volunteers lost to the Oklahoma Sooners, 33-27, in their last game.

Against the Kennesaw State Owls in their most recent game, the Aggies lost 24-21.

Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Predictions

For insights on the upcoming game between the Tennessee Volunteers and New Mexico State Aggies, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Volunteers (- 39.5)
• Pick OU: Under (61.5)
  
• Prediction: Volunteers 50 - Aggies 7

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Tennessee Betting Insights

• Tennessee has won five of the six games it was the moneyline favorite this season (83.3%).
• Tennessee has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of or shorter.
• Volunteers games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 61.5 points seven times.
• The average point total in Volunteers games this season is 59.2, 2.3 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• The Volunteers score the fourth-most points in college football this season, while the Aggies' offense racks up the 116th-most.

New Mexico State Betting Insights

• This season, New Mexico State has won two out of the eight games in which it has been the underdog.
• New Mexico State has not been a bigger underdog this season than the moneyline set for this game.
• New Mexico State has played just one game this season that ended with a combined score over 61.5 points.
• New Mexico State has a 51.1-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 10.4 fewer points than this game's point total.

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Key Stats for Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

• On the offensive side of the ball, the Volunteers have been a top-25 unit, ranking best in the FBS by averaging 504.1 yards per game. They rank 99th on defense (395.9 yards allowed per game).
• Tennessee has struggled on defense, ranking 23rd-worst in the FBS (31.1 points allowed per game) this season. However, the defensive unit ranks third-best on the offensive side of the ball, averaging 43.6 points per game.
• The Aggies rank 11th-worst in total yards per game (303.0), but they've been more productive defensively, ranking 96th in the FBS with 394.6 total yards ceded per contest.
• New Mexico State ranks 25th-worst in points per game (21.3), but it has been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 75th in the FBS with 25.2 points ceded per contest.