Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The Saint Mary's Gaels (3-0) host the North Texas Mean Green (3-1) at University Credit Union Pavilion, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, November 14, 2025. The Mean Green are 14.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is 129.5.

In its last matchup on Tuesday, Saint Mary's (CA) earned a 90-60 win against Ohio. Liam Campbell put up 20 points, three rebounds and one assist for Saint Mary's (CA). North Texas dropped its last matchup 66-64 against Oregon State on Wednesday. Will McClendon scored 16 points in North Texas' loss, leading the team.

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 14, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, California
• Spread favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -1587
• Moneyline underdog: North Texas +889
• Over/Under: 129.5 points

How to watch Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas

• Saint Mary's (CA) played 23 games with more than 129.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last year.
• North Texas' games went over 129.5 total points scored in 13 of 30 matchups last year.
• The two teams averaged a combined 11.4 more points per game (140.9) a season ago than this matchup's total of 129.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 121.2 points per game last season, 8.3 fewer than the point total for this game.
• Saint Mary's (CA)'s average point total in outings last year was 134.0, 4.5 points higher than the total in this game.
• North Texas' games in 2024 averaged an over/under of 128.1 points, 1.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas

• Saint Mary's (CA) covered 14 times in 34 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Gaels were favored by 14.5 points or more 12 times last season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
• North Texas compiled a 15-15-0 ATS record last season.
• At home last season, Saint Mary's (CA) was 15-1 overall and 6-10 against the spread.
• As a 14.5-point favorite or more at home last season, Saint Mary's (CA) was 3-6 ATS.
• North Texas was 7-5 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, on the road last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas

• Saint Mary's (CA) finished 25-4 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 86.2% of those games).
• The Gaels won all 11 games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1587 or shorter.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has an implied moneyline win probability of 94.1% in this contest.
• Last season, North Texas won two out of the six games in which it was the underdog.
• The Mean Green were not a bigger underdog last season than the +889 moneyline set for this game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 10.1% chance of a victory for North Texas.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Saint Mary's (CA) vs. North Texas

• Pick ATS: Saint Mary's (CA) (- 14.5)
• Pick OU: Under (129.5)
  
• Prediction: Saint Mary's (CA) 71 - North Texas 55