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Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 3 of the AL Wild Card Series Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 2

02 October 2025 By Data Skrive

The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of the AL Wild Card Series on Thursday at 8:08 p.m. ET, with the series tied at a game each. The winner advances to the ALDS. Cam Schlittler (4-3, 2.96 ERA) will start for the Yankees, and Connelly Early (1-2, 2.33 ERA) is the expected starter for the Red Sox.

The Red Sox (+134) are on the road versus the favored Yankees (-159). The total in this contest is set at 7.5.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, October 2, 2025
  • Game time: 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • Favorite: Yankees (-159)
  • Underdog: Red Sox (+134)
  • Over/under: 7.5

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Yankees vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Yankees have won 60.3% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (85-56).
  • Boston has been victorious in 30, or 50%, of the 60 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a record of 54-26 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -159 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Red Sox have been victorious eight times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 61.4% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 163 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Yankees, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-81-6).
  • Boston's games have gone over the total in 75 of its 163 chances.
  • The Yankees have collected a 76-87-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.6% of the time).
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 86-77-0 in 163 games with a line this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Yankees vs. Red Sox

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