Montana vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

The Montana Grizzlies (3-1) play the Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2) as 5.5-point favorites on Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 169 points.

Their last time out, Montana won on Tuesday 102-93 over UNLV. Money Williams recorded 30 points, two rebounds and eight assists for Montana. Cal Poly enters this matchup after a 93-79 loss to Colorado State on Wednesday. Hamad Mousa totaled 18 points, two rebounds and three assists for Cal Poly.

Montana vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, Montana
• Spread favorite: Montana -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Montana -240
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +194
• Over/Under: 169 points

How to watch Montana vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Montana vs. Cal Poly

• Last season, Montana's games finished over 169 points scored, its current matchup's total, seven (out of 32) times.
• Last season, 15 of Cal Poly's 33 games had a combined total higher than 169 points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 158.7 points per game a season ago, 10.3 fewer points than the over/under of 169 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 156.2 points per game last season, 12.8 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• The average over/under Montana had set in games last year was 19.1 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average point total for Cal Poly in 2024 was 4.0 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Montana vs. Cal Poly

• Montana covered 19 times in 32 games with a spread last season.
• The Grizzlies covered the spread four times last season (4-5 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• Cal Poly compiled a 17-16-0 ATS record last year.
• When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs last year, the Mustangs had an ATS record of 4-9.
• At home last season, Montana was 12-1 overall and 8-5 against the spread.
• Montana had two wins ATS (2-4) as a 5.5-point favorite or greater at home last season.
• Cal Poly was 8-9 against the spread, and 5-12 overall, on the road last season.
• Cal Poly was unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as a 5.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Montana vs. Cal Poly

• Montana won 94.1% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (16-1).
• The Grizzlies won all nine games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter.
• Based on this game's moneyline, Montana's implied win probability is 70.6%.
• Cal Poly was an underdog 23 times last season and won seven, or 30.4%, of those games.
• The Mustangs were 1-12 last season when entering a game as an underdog by +194 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by Cal Poly, based on the moneyline, is 34.0%.