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Michigan vs. TCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 14

14 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The No. 6 Michigan Wolverines (2-0) visit the TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 14, 2025. The Horned Frogs are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is 158.5.

In its last matchup on Tuesday, Michigan claimed an 85-84 OT victory against Wake Forest. Aday Mara scored a team-leading 18 points for Michigan in the victory. In its last matchup on Monday, TCU earned a 78-65 victory against Lamar. Jayden Pierre scored a team-high 18 points for TCU in the victory.

Michigan vs. TCU Odds and Game Time

  • When: Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas
  • Spread favorite: Michigan -7.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Michigan -345
  • Moneyline underdog: TCU +273
  • Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. TCU

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. TCU

  • Michigan played 14 games with more than 158.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last year.
  • Last year, three of TCU's 32 matchups went over 158.5 total points scored.
  • The Wolverines and the Horned Frogs combined to average 12.9 fewer points per game a season ago than the total of 158.5 set for this game.
  • The Wolverines and the Horned Frogs saw their opponents average a combined 18.3 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 158.5 set for this matchup.
  • The average point total for Michigan's games last year was 9.1 fewer points than the over/under of 158.5 in this matchup.
  • TCU's games in 2024 averaged a total of 136.3 points, 22.2 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
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Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. TCU

  • Michigan put together an 18-19-0 ATS record last year.
  • The Wolverines covered the spread six times last season (6-7 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
  • TCU covered 12 times in 32 games with a spread last season.
  • The Horned Frogs had an ATS record of 3-5 when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs last year.
  • TCU was 9-8 against the spread, and 14-3 overall, at home last year.
  • At home last year, TCU had two wins ATS (2-4) as a 7.5-point underdog or greater.
  • In away games last season, Michigan was 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
  • Away from home, Michigan was winless ATS (0-1) as a 7.5-point favorite or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. TCU

  • Michigan won 20 of the 27 games it was the moneyline favorite last season (74.1%).
  • The Wolverines finished 11-1 last year (winning 91.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -345 or shorter.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, Michigan has an implied win probability of 77.5%.
  • Last season, TCU won four out of the 16 games, or 25%, in which it was the underdog.
  • The Horned Frogs had a record of 1-4 in games where oddsmakers had them as underdogs of at least +273 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by TCU, based on the moneyline, is 26.8%.

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