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Xfinity 500 Betting Preview

29 October 2020

The Xfinity 500 takes place at the historic half-mile track at Martinsville in Henry County, Va., on Sunday. However, there have been a handful of rain delays in the most recent Cup Series races that have halted the action for the time being. 

 

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 1, 1 pm ET
  • Watch on: NBC
  • Track: Martinsville Speedway

* date and time subject to change due to rain delays recently 

Betting Overview

The rain could have some effect as to the momentum that select drivers have been having. The change of pace could allow other drivers to mentally reset and perform better as the races continue.

Looking back at how drivers performed here in June, the short track did anything but help, with drivers like Ryan Blaney, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, and Denny Hamlin finding it difficult to catch back up. Drivers like Joey Logano and Jimmie Johnson performed well early and maintained a lead through most of the race. 

Martin Truex Jr. eventually took the lead on lap 370, resulting in a victory later on. This was his only victory this season, but he has had 11 top five finishes since winning that race. 

Dunkel Index Top 10 Picks For Xfinity 500

The Dunkel Index is showing these 10 racers that could win this event. Odds across the market could change, but the 10 that have the best odds at winning are:

  1. Brad Keselowski 77.658
  2. Alex Bowman 80.841
  3. Martin Truex Jr. 81.617
  4. Chase Elliott 81.718
  5. Kyle Busch 82.025
  6. Joey Logano 83.297
  7. Denny Hamlin 84.322
  8. Ryan Blaney 84.994
  9. Kevin Harvick 85.550
  10. Jimmie Johnson 86.117

Racers That Could Win

Martin Truex Jr. (81.617)

Truex has his only win of the season here. He has performed quite well since winning this race back in June.

His last three races have resulted in top 10 finishes, so he seems to be hovering around contention. In other betting markets, he is favored to win here. 

Joey Logano (83.297)

Logano performed well here last time and even had a lead for a handful of laps. He ultimately fell short but finished fourth as a result. 

He has four first-place finishes this season and most recently has three top five finishes, with one of those being a win. He, too, is also a favorite among other betting markets. 

Chase Elliott (81.718)

Elliott performed well here last time as he finished in fifth place. His most recent performances have resulted in four top 10 finishes, with one of them being a win at Charlotte. A win here would boost his chances of taking over the leaderboard. 

Winner Of Xfinity 500

Chase Elliott (81.718)

Elliott has performed well here over the last 10 races. However, his standings are on the line if he cannot get it together and find a way to win. 

He’s going to need a little luck on his side, but he is very capable of claiming a victory here. 

Here are the complete Dunkel ratings for this week’s event. Driver ratings are based on past performance.

1B. Keselowski77.658
2A. Bowman80.841
3M. Truex81.617
4C. Elliott81.718
5Kyle Busch82.025
6J. Logano83.297
7D. Hamlin84.322
8R. Blaney84.994
9K. Harvick85.550
10J. Johnson86.117
11A. Dillon86.269
12E. Jones86.695
13W. Byron86.727
14C. Bell87.639
15T. Reddick87.905
16A. Almirola88.495
17M. DiBenedetto90.678
18R. Preece90.683
19Kurt Busch90.889
20C. Bowyer91.352
21C. Custer91.352
22T. Dillon92.139
23C. Buescher95.338
24R. Newman96.086
25B. Wallace96.101
26J. Hunter Nemechek97.489
27C. Finchum98.353
28R. Stenhouse98.840
29D. Suarez98.889
30M. McDowell100.081
31Q. Houff100.763
32B. Poole102.895
33C. Lajoie103.174
34R. Sorenson104.449
35M. Kenseth105.496
36J. Gase107.777
37J. Bilicki108.580
38JJ Yeley111.313
39T. Hill113.600
40J. Davison115.041

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