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Chiefs will be Short-Handed in Super Bowl LV

NFL Previews

Defending Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs face Brady's Buccaneers in a historical showdown.

The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 3.5 points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV, but they will be without an important player. The Chiefs learned on Monday that left tackle Eric Fisher tore his Achilles tendon in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game and will be unavailable in the Super Bowl. 

Fisher was named to the Pro Bowl for the second time in his career this season after starting 15 regular-season games and both playoff games. Right tackle Mike Remmers finished Sunday’s game in Fisher’s spot and will likely start on the left side against the Bucs. 

Andrew Wylie then moved from right guard to right tackle, and veteran Stefan Wisniewski came off the bench to play right guard. The Chiefs are already without tackle Mitchell Schwartz who hurt his back in Week 6, and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, who opted out for this season. 

That means they will be facing a Bucs team that ranked fourth in the NFL this season in sacks (48) without three of their expected starters on the offensive line. Tampa Bay has an additional seven sacks in the playoffs, and they brought down Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers five times on Sunday. Ironically the Packers were also without starting Pro Bowl left tackle David Bakhtiari who tore his ACL earlier this month.

The Bucs only sacked Patrick Mahomes twice in the regular-season matchup as the Chiefs quarterback burned Tampa Bay with a season-high 462 passing yards and three touchdowns. Defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul and linebacker Shaquil Barrett each sacked Mahomes in that game as the quarterback ran for 28 yards and also lost a fumble. Barrett had three sacks against the Packers, while Pierre-Paul had the other two.

Super Bowl MVP Odds

A quarterback has won the Super Bowl MVP award in 30 of the 54 games including eight of the last 11 and 10 of the last 14. Those wins include both of the Super Bowl LV quarterbacks, with Mahomes winning last year and Tom Brady claiming the award in four of his six wins. 

So it should come as no surprise that the two quarterbacks are the biggest favorites to be the Super Bowl LV MVP. Mahomes is the favorite at -120, ahead of Brady at +190. Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who had 200 receiving yards in the first quarter against the Bucs in November, is +1300, as is tight end Travis Kelce. 

Buccaneers running back Leonard Fournette is next at +2500, followed by wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin at +3000. Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire is also +3000, while Bucs linebacker Shaquil Barrett and Chiefs safety Tyrann Mathieu are both +4000.

A running back hasn’t been named Super Bowl MVP since Denver’s Terrell Davis won the award in 1998. The last time Tampa Bay was in the Super Bowl is also the last time a defensive back won the award as Dexter Jackson was Super Bowl XXXVII MVP in 2003. The only interruptions of the quarterback run have been with linebackers and wide receivers, each claiming the award twice over the last 14 Super Bowls. 

Free Pick: Chiefs (-3.5) 

For more Dunkel Index NFL Picks, check out our NFL picks page.

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