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2021 WGC-Dell Technologies Betting Preview /Match Picks

Golf Previews

The second World Golf Championships event coming up soon will feature 64 of golf’s best players. They will be partaking in the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event in Austin Country Club, running through March 24-28. 

This event will be the only match-play tournament on the calendar. In addition, just about all of the big names for golf will compete with a few not participating, such as Gary Woodland, Brooks Koepka, Justin Rose, and Adam Scott.

Betting Overview 

The first three days of the competition will have 16 groups of four golfers that will each be playing everyone in their respective group once in a round-robin format. The winners will move onto the Sweet 16, then single-elimination matches, all the way to the final in which a champion will be named.

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following 10 are:

1. Justin Thomas -7.322
2. Bryson DeChambeau -8.384
3. Collin Morikawa    -8.678
4. Dustin Johnson -8.757
5. Daniel Berger -11.660
6. Paul Casey    -12.444              
7. Jon Rahm -13.143              
8. Patrick Reed -13.616
9. Corey Connors -13.908
10. Cameron Smith -14.014

*index is subject to changes 

Head-to-Head Matchup to Watch

Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas will be the main ones to watch as they both look to claim their first title here. There will be great golf throughout the field, but these two will be interesting to watch as they battle in their own brackets, respectively. 

Even though they are in different brackets, they have a very good chance of meeting up later. In that regard, you can enjoy the show that these two will put on. 

Golfers That Could Win 

Dustin Johnson (-8.757)

Johnson won this event back in 2017 when he defeated Jon Rahm. This was also the last time the top-seeded player won, as he was the best player in that tournament. 

Collin Morikawa (-8.678)

Morikawa has the best strokes gained approach stat compared to the field at +31.4 in the last 24 rounds of golf. At this course, it will be crucial to have precise ball-striking on approaches, so Morikawa is a great candidate to play well in that regard. 

Potential Winning Pick 

Justin Thomas (-7.322)

Thomas is also not far on the list for the second-best strokes gained approach stat. He is also leading in the stats for birdies or better gained at +29.3 in the last 24 rounds played. 

That stat alone, the birdies or better gained, will make a huge difference in play for everyone. The matchups will matter significantly here because if your opponent lands a birdie, it does not make a difference if you make a par or worse. 

If one player birdies and their opponent does not match or score better, they will lose the hole and move on to the next hole. The extra pressure will force golfers to perform at their best every round throughout the weekend. 

Match Picks

Abraham Ancer (-120) Over Bernd Wiesberger

After missing the cut at The Genesis Invitational, Ancer has rebounded well with an 18th at the WGC-Workday Championship and a 22nd at The Players. Overall, the 8th-year pro has 2 Top 10s and 7 Top 25s to his credit this season.

Ancer rarely gets into trouble. He ranks 2nd on the Tour in driving accuracy and 16th in greens in regulation.

After a 4th place finish as the RSM Classic, Wiesberger finished over-par in both the WGC-Workday Championship and Arnold Palmer. He missed the cut in his most recent tournament, The Players. The 35-year-old Austrian has not been as accurate as Ancer, ranking just 131st in driving accuracy and 184th in greens in regulation.

With Ancer rated No. 25 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Wiesberger rated No. 45, we’ll take Abraham Ancer (-120) to beat Bernd Wiesberger.

Corey Connors (+100) Over Matthew Wolff

Few on Tour have been as hot as Connors lately. The 29-year-old comes into this week following a 3rd-place finish at the Arnold Palmer and 7th at The Players. That is on top of seven other Top 25 finishes already this season.

Always a steady golfer, Connors ranks 12th in driving accuracy and 15th in greens in regulation. The major change to his game has been the improvement in putting average where he has gone 175th last year to 43rd this season.

Wolff burst on the scene in 2019 and was a standout in 2020. But 2021 has started out miserably. He hit a low at the WGC-Workday Championship after firing an opening-round 83 and withdrawing.

It’s symptomatic of his down play so far. In his last seven starts, Wolff hasn’t finished in the Top 35 and has six rounds of 77 or worse.

With Connors rated No. 9 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Wolff rated No. 64, we’ll take Corey Connors (+100) to beat Matthew Wolff.

Patrick Reed (-120) Over Bubba Watson

Reed has cooled off a bit since winning the Farmers Insurance back in January. But he has still followed that up with respectable finishes at WGC-Workday Championship (9th) and The Players (22nd). Overall, the 30-year-old has finished in the Top 25 in 7 of the 9 tournaments he’s entered.

Watson has not been nearly as steady. While he finished in the Top 25 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open (22nd), he was only 54th at the WGC-Workday Championship and failed to make the cut at the Farmers Insurance, Genesis Invitational and his most recent tournament, The Players.

With Reed rated No. 8 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Watson rated No. 52, we’ll take Patrick Reed (-120) to beat Bubba Watson.

 

Be sure to check out all of our Daily Picks before placing your bets!

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