2021 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview/Prop Bets

Golf Previews

The next PGA Tour event will make a trip to Charlotte, North Carolina, where a handful of the top golfers will be playing. This event usually has some mid to high scores, with Mcllroy setting the tournament record in 2015 with a -21.

Tournament Details
Date: May 6–9, 2021
Course: Quail Hollow Golf Course
Watch on: GOLF, CBS

Betting Overview

This prestigious golf course will also be host to the Presidents Cup next year. There are a handful of golfers that are at the top of the rankings competing here, with the likes of Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, and Bryson DeChambeau.

The final three holes for this course are some of the toughest in the game. “The Green Mile” is what these holes are called, and it typically sends golfers shots into the water.

Head to Head Matchup to Watch

Justin Thomas (-19.272) and defending champion Max Homa (-20.483) make a great pair to watch. Homa, at one point during the 2019 event, was up ten strokes on the field before finishing the event with a three stroke victory.

Dunkel Index For This Event

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:

  1. Bryson DeChambeau - 17.802
  2. Matt Jones - 17.995
  3. Jon Rahm - 18.196
  4. Xander Schauffele - 18.697
  5. Justin Thomas - 19.272
  6. Webb Simpson - 20.380
  7. Brian Harman - 20.462
  8. Max Homa - 20.483
  9. Will Zalatoris - 20.579
  10. Cameron Tringale - 21.081

*index is subject to changes

Golfers That Could Win

Max Homa (-20.483) has been great here and with his recent victory makes him a solid pick. He has placed inside the top 25 six times and inside the top 10 four times.

He has two notable wins at the Genesis Invitational and just recently at the Valspar Championship. He has some of the best momentum coming into this tournament.

Bryson DeChambeau (-17.802) is an attractive betting pick here, but some might ignore him due to his performance at the Masters. He definitely has one of the best ball striking performances here, so the rest will need to come along.

He also had two great performances before the Masters. One was a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and tying for third place at the Players.

Potential Winning Pick

Rory McIlroy (-22.156) has had two straight missed cuts in major tournaments like the Masters and the Players. Before those tournaments, he landed two straight top 10 finishes and looked great.

Playing at this tournament, McIlroy has been great. In fact, he has played the best (most recent 20 rounds) with number one ranking in tee to green, ball striking, and off the green performance.

If he can ever come out of his slump, this would be the time to do it. The former number one golfer in the world deserves some credit, but he will have to show up here.

Prop Bets

Top 5 Finish: Jon Rahm (+225)

While it is somewhat surprising that Rahm has not won a tournament so far this season, he has been consistently knocking on the door.

In the 13 events he’s played, the 26-year-old Spaniard has finished in the Top 10 nine times. That includes a tie for 5th at the Masters after closing with a 66 in the final round.

Rahm’s game continues to be marked by length off the tee and accuracy around the greens. He comes in ranked 22nd in driving distance (307.1) and 4th in greens in regulation percentage (72.11), which adds up to 8th in scoring average (69.908).

Rated No. 3 in the Dunkel Index, we’ll take Rahm (+225) to put together another strong tournament and finish in the Top 5.

Top 10 Finish: Xander Schauffele (+164)

When last we left Schauffele in Augusta, he was on the verge of pulling off one of the great comebacks in Masters history. But after playing holes 7 through 15 at 6-under, the 27-year-old American found the water on 16th and his dreams of a Masters green jacket went down with it.

While a huge disappointment, it does not overshadow the fact that Schauffele is having another strong season. He’s finished in the Top 10 in 6 of the 13 tournaments he’s played and been runner-up in 3 of them.

Like Rahm, he is long and accurate with a No. 25 ranking in driving distance (306.3) and No. 27 ranking in greens in regulation percentage (68.60). And when he misses, he can rely on his top-ranked sand game (66.67 save percentage) to bail him out.

Rated No. 4 in the Dunkel Index, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Schauffele break through with his first win of the season. But we’ll go with the safer play and take Schauffele (+164) to finish in the Top 10.

Top 20 Finish: Cameron Tringale (+175)

We’ve taken Tringale in a number of tournaments this year and been rewarded each time, including last week when he finished tied for 3rd at the Valspar.

It’s the latest positive in an already strong season that also saw the 33-year-old American finish tied for 7th at the AT&T Pebble Beach and tied for 9th at the Valero Texas Open.

His effort at the Valspar moved him into the Top 10 in scoring average (69.965).

Rated No. 10 in the Dunkel Index, we like Tringale (+175) to continue his hot streak this week and finish in the Top 20.

Top 20 Finish: Viktor Hovland (+100)

Few golfers were as hot as Hovland at the start of the season. He finished tied for 2nd at the Farmers Insurance, 5th at the Genesis Invitational and 2nd at the WGC-Workday Championship.

He looked well on his way to another big finish when he sat at 3rd after the second round at Bay Hill.

But the wheels began to wobble after that and he finished just 49th at the Arnold Palmer. He then followed that up with a missed cut at the Players Championship and a lackluster performance at the Dell Match Play.

But Augusta seemed to inject some new life into Hovland’s game as he finished in a tie for 21st and followed that up with a 3rd-place finish last week at the Valspar that included a closing-round 65.

Rated No. 12 in the Dunkel Index, the 23-year-old Norwegian looks to be back on his game. We’ll take Hovland (+100) to finish in the Top 20.

Best Finishing Position: Tony Finau (-120) Over Patrick Cantlay

Like Hovland, Finau bolted out of the gate to start the season with a 4th at the American Express, 2nd at the Farmers Insurance and 2nd at the Genesis Invitational.

He cooled off considerably after that and missed the cut at both the Players Championship and Valero Texas Open. But Augusta also brought his game back around as he found himself on the leaderboard following a 2nd round 66 and finished in a tie for 10th.

Cantlay’s start was equally strong with a 2nd at the American Express and 3rd at the AT&T Pebble Beach. But his rough patch has been much tougher as he’s missed the cut in each of his last three tournaments, including the Masters and most recently at the RBC Heritage. That’s off considerably from last year when he only missed 1 cut in 12 tournaments.

With Cantlay rated No. 32 in the Dunkel Index and still searching for his game, we’ll take the No. 12-rated Finau (-120) to finish ahead on him on Sunday.

Keep up with your latest PGA news coverage and betting pick previews at The Dunkel Index.



Get the latest Dunkel Index updates delivered directly to your inbox.



About Us

The Dunkel Index is a family-owned enterprise started by Dick Dunkel, Sr., in 1929.

Read More


Dunkel Podcast

Join Bob and Ben Dunkel as they discuss all things sports.