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2021 Waste Management Open Betting Preview 

01 February 2021

One of the fans' most popular tournaments on the PGA Tour is next on the schedule for this week. The tour will head to the desert as the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open from TPC Scottsdale in Scottsdale, Ariz., which tees off on Thursday. 

There are a total of five out of the top 10 Official World Golf Rankings golfers participating. In addition, there are a total of 21 out of the top 50 players that will compete. 

This event is also known for its very close finishes. In fact, four out of the last five events have been decided by a playoff.

  • Dates: Feb 4–7, 2021
  • Course: TPC Scottsdale - Stadium Course
  • Purse: $7.3 million

Betting Overview 

Rory McIlroy will make his first appearance at TPC Scottsdale. Jon Rahm is considered the local favorite by fans since he attended Arizona State. 

Rahm has performed well, as he has never finished worse than 16th, but he still does not have a victory at this tournament. 

Solid ball-strikers will find a lot of success at this event. Long-distance hitters can somewhat sacrifice fairway accuracy since they have the ability to shoot past some hazards and only need to wedge out of overseeded rough.

What is not surprising is that there is a common link that most winners of this event have displayed over the years. Winners of this event are efficient tee-to-green golfers while also being very solid ball-strikers.

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these 10 golfers that could win this event. The top 10 are:

  1. Justin Thomas -4.745
  2. Jon Rahm -6.126
  3. Xander Schauffele -6.638
  4. Rory McIlroy -7.956
  5. Si Woo Kim -8.370
  6. Webb Simpson -9.240
  7. Daniel Berger -10.072
  8. Harris English -10.604
  9. Ryan Palmer -11.504
  10. Billy Horschel -11.630

Golfers That Could Win 

Webb Simpson (-9.240)

Webb Simpson is the returning Waste Management Phoenix Open champion, having won in 2020. He shot 17-under and secured a playoff victory against Tony Finau.

Simpson is proof that you do not have to be a long-distance hitter to play well here. By his play at this course, he is definitely someone to watch again, especially as the ninth-ranked golfer in the world. 

Jon Rahm (-6.126)

Rahm is having a great start to the year. He is also the second-ranked golfer, according to the world rankings. 

This will be a home advantage type of course for him. Oddly enough, he has not won here even though he had success playing here in recent years and during his days at Arizona State. 

Potential Winning Pick 

Justin Thomas (-4.745)

Justin Thomas has played very well here in the past two years, finishing in third place both times. 

In his last 36 holes leading up to this event, Thomas has one of the best tee-to-green approaches in the field. Look for him to land a victory this time around. 

For more Dunkel Index picks, check out our picks page.

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