2021 U.S Open Betting Preview/Player Props
The next PGA Tour event heads to San Diego, California to take part in the U.S Open. Golfers are preparing to play at a course that they do not see very often for Majors.
Date:Jun 17–20, 2021
Course: Torrey Pines - South Course (US Open)
Watch on: NBC, GOLF
This marks the second time that Torrey Pines is hosting the U.S Open. The first was back in 2008 when Tiger Woods won the event.
Torrey Pines is also ranked in the top five for toughest courses. For now it holds the third ranked spot, but some golfers argue that it is the toughest place to play.
Head to Head Matchup to Watch
Brooks Koepka (-27.682) and Bryson DeChambeau (-28.515) make a great duo to watch. They have taken charge of winning three out of the last four U.S. Opens.
Koepka is still trying to find his glory days before his knee injury and has shown some promising play this year. DeChambeau is still attempting to make a run for being the overall top ranked golfer, but needs to win more events like these.
Dunkel Index For This Event
The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following 10 are:
- Jon Rahm -19.498
- Patrick Cantlay -23.756
- Jordan Spieth -23.845
- Collin Morikawa -24.436
- Rory McIlroy -25.674
- Abraham Ancer -25.856
- Jason Kokrak -26.320
- Tyrrell Hatton -26.559
- Paul Casey -27.110
- Brian Harman -27.160
*index is subject to changes
Golfers That Could Win
Tyrrell Hatton (-26.559) is a bit of a wild card entering this event because he has never played at Torrey Pines. With his recent performance at the Palmetto Championship, bettors have opened their eyes to what he can do on the golf course.
Bryson DeChambeau (-28.515) won this event last year but it was at a different golf course, the Winged Foot Golf Club. He will need more than his powerful driver, but arguably is one of the best to keep the ball straight when driving.
Collin Morikawa (-24.436) is fourth place for best golfer in the rankings and is coming off of a second place finish at the Memorial Tournament. He also made his debut this year at Torrey Pines and finished tied for 21st, so he has somewhat of an idea of what this event will be like.
Potential Winning Pick
Jon Rahm (-19.498) is the favorite among the betting market leaderboards and for good reason. He is arguably one of the best players right now and has recent performances to back it up.
Even though he has not had success in a couple years at the U.S Open, he still has been respected in those events. In addition, he also has a previous win at Torrey Pines so this should benefit his play knowing that he has what it takes to win here.
Top 10 Finish: Collin Morikawa (+250)
Although only 24 and just his second year on the Tour, Morikawa already has 4 titles to his name, including the 2020 PGA Championship.
The Cal grad looks to be in top form after narrowly missing his 5th title two weeks ago in the Memorial when he lost a playoff with Patrick Cantlay.
Rated No. 4 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we like Morikawa (+250) to put together another strong major and finish in the Top 10.
Top 20 Finish: Tyrrell Hatton (+138)
While Hatton came up just short at last week's Palmetto Championship, the 29-year-old Englishman was the best player in the field from tee to green as he was nearly a half-shot better than the next closest competitor.
His performance at Congaree followed a disappointing 38th at the PGA Championship. But his closing round 68 at the Masters put him in a tie for 18th at Augusta and showed he can compete in a major.
Rated No. 8 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll take Hatton to add another Top 20 finish to his majors resume.
Top 20 Finish: Paul Casey (+138)
The 44-year-old Englishman seems to save his best golf for the majors. He finished 4th at this year’s PGA Championship and became the only player to have Top 5 finishes in 2020 and 2021.
He also finished 5th at the PLAYERS Championship while tied for the lead in birdies with 22. His last 4 US Opens have seen finishes of 26th, 16th, 21st and 17th.
Rated No. 9 in this week’s Dunkel Index, Casey (+138) looks like a good pick for another Top 20 finish at Torrey Pines.
Top 30 Finish: Brian Harman (+150)
Prior to missing the cut at the PGA Championship, Harman had been on a roll with 4 straight Top 20 finishes, including a 3rd at The PLAYERS Championship. He rebounded well with a tie for 8th at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
One of 8 Georgia Bulldogs in the US Open field, the 34-year-old does have experience contending at a major with his 12th place finish at this year’s Masters.
Rated No. 10 in this week’s Dunkel Index, Harman (+150) looks like a solid pick to finish in the Top 30.
Top 30 Finish: Shane Lowry (-110)
Few pros are as hot as Lowry right now as the 34-year-old from Ireland has posted 4 Top 10 finishes since March, including a 4th at the PGA Championship and 6th in his most recent tournament, the Memorial.
He certainly knows how to compete in a major as he won the 2019 Open Championship at Royal Portrush by six shots. He was in contention throughout the 2016 US Open at Oakmont before a final round 76 put him in a tie for second.
Rated No. 15 in this week’s Dunkel Index, Lowry’s game and experience look tailored for another strong major. We’ll take him (-110) to finish in the Top 30.
Top 40 Finish: Daniel Berger (-125)
Berger already has a tournament win under his belt this season as he captured the AT&T Pebble Beach title back in February. He also came close at the Byron Nelson with a closing-round 64 that put him in a tie for third.
The 28-year-old out of FSU comes into Torrey Pines ranked in the Top 10 in greens in regulation percentage (69.94) and birdie average (4.45).
He has disappointed in the majors so far this year after failing to make the cut at the Masters and finishing tied for 75th at the PGA Championship. But he showed he can compete under the rough US Open conditions when he entered the final round of the 2018 event tied for the lead before finishing in a tie for 6th.
Rated No. 17 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we’ll look for a better major effort this week and take Berger (-125) to finish in the Top 40.
Top 40 Finish: Justin Rose (+110)
Rose knows Torrey Pines well as he captured the Farmers Insurance Open at the course back in 2019.
The 40-year-old Englishman also comes in playing well with 2 Top 10 finishes in his last 5 tournaments. And the majors seem to bring out the best in his game as he’s already registered a 7th at the Masters and 8th at the PGA Championship.
Rose has also had success at previous US Opens with 2 Top 10 finishes in the last 6 events and an average finishing position of 13th over that span.
Rated No. 19 in this week’s Dunkel Index, we like the major-tested Rose (+110) to put together another strong tournament and finish in the Top 40.