2021 Toyota Owners 400 Betting Preview/Prop Bet

NASCAR Previews

Richmond Raceway in Richmond, Virginia, features the next NASCAR Xfinity Series event for the Toyota Owners 400. This track is referred to as "America's Premier Short Track," so fans can enjoy the atmosphere and excitement that this race will provide.

Race Details
Date: Sun, Apr 18, 2:00 PM
Watch on: FOX
Track: Richmond Raceway VA

Betting Overview 

This track is a great one for higher speeds, easier turns, and even better chances at passing. This means the starting positions do not matter a ton but still are important to watch.

This track is also high wear on the drivers' tires. This means you want to bet on drivers that are known to have great crews.

Head to Head Matchup to Watch

Brad Keselowski (107.132) and Kevin Harvick (112.442) both have some positive experiences racing here. Looking at recent performances leading up to this race, Keselowski has a few top 10 finishes, and Harvick has one finishing out as ninth.

Dunkel Index For This Event

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 drivers that could win this event. The following 10 are:

1    Brad Keselowski 107.132                                                                               
2    Denny Hamlin    107.678                                                                               
3    Martin Truex Jr 108.905                                                                          
4    Ryan Blaney    109.739                                                                            
5    Joey Logano    110.354                                                                               
6    Kyle Larson    110.775                                                                              
7    Kevin Harvick    112.442                                                                               
8    William Byron    113.114                                                                                
9    Chase Elliott    113.945                                                                          
10    Christopher Bell    115.578

*index is subject to changes

Drivers That Could Win

Chase Elliott (113.945) has performed better at other races and, for some reason, has had issues here. He finished 15th back in 2019, which looked a lot better than some of the other performances here.

Ryan Blaney (109.739) has earned a lot of respect from the betting market, but he has not performed well here. His last performance was a 25th placing in 2019, and he has been inconsistent overall here.

Martin Truex Jr (108.905) is a betting favorite for most races in NASCAR, so it is no surprise to see him ranked high here. With four consecutive top-four finishes here and a recent win in 2019, he makes an appealing option here.

Potential Winning Pick

Denny Hamlin (107.678)

Hamlin has become quite the reliable driver to look at here since he has shown a lot of consistency this season and even while racing at this track. For instance, he has finished in the top four spots in his last five consecutive races.

Looking at his performances at this track, Hamlin has been able to finish in the top six spots in nearly all of his last ten tries (eight out of 10). Hamlin looks to be a valuable option here since he has shown consistent placing here.

Overall, Martin Truex Jr. will be tough to beat here, as he has shown dominance lately, but he does not typically repeat victories. Hamlin has a great opportunity to slide in with his consistency and take a victory at Richmond.

Prop Bet

Ryan Blaney (-140) Over Christopher Bell

Blaney has already picked up a victory this season as he overtook Kyle Larson to win at Atlanta. He looked like he was well on his way to picking up a second last week at Martinsville.

After winning the first and second stages, and leading for 157 laps, Blaney was penalized for dragging an air hose out of the pit box. Sent to the back of the pack on lap 459, Blaney still showed plenty of tenacity by crawling all the way back to 11th.

On the season, the No. 12 car is 5th in Laps Led (218) and 5th in Fastest Laps Run (94). He is 7th in Average Driver Rating (91.8).

Bell started off the 2021 season by picking up his first career win at the Daytona Road Course. He followed that up with a 7th at Las Vegas and a 9th at Phoenix.

But the No. 20 car slipped from there with a 21st at Atlanta and 34th at Bristol, before rebounding with a 7th at Martinsville. 

Overall, Bell is 11th in Laps Led (46); 10th in Fastest Laps Run (63), and 12th in Average Driver Rating (88.2). 

Blaney comes into Richmond rated No. 4 in the Dunkel Index with Bell rated No. 10. We'll take Ryan Blaney (-140) to finish ahead of Christopher Bell on Sunday.

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