2021 RBC Heritage Betting Preview/Prop Bets

Golf Previews

Shortly after an interesting turn of events at the Masters, we arrive at the RBC Heritage, which is played at the Harbour Town Golf Links. Not a lot of people would have correctly predicted Dustin Johnson missing the cut at the Masters, but bettors will have another opportunity as these golfers resume the next event. 


Tournament details

  • Date: Apr 15–18, 2021
  • Watch on: CBS, GOLF
  • Purse:$7,100,000

Betting Overview 

This course has challenged many golfers over these years. This includes even some of the best to play each year. 

In this event, there will be top-level talent with five out of the top 10 golfers in the world participating. In addition, there will also be 13 out of the top-25 best golfers in the world competing. 

This includes Webb Simpson, who claimed a victory here last season. A lot of bettors and golfers alike have given new respect to Will Zalatoris, so he, too, will be making an appearance. 

Head to Head Matchup to Watch 

Dustin Johnson (-20.408) and Webb Simpson (18.897) make an interesting pair to watch. Johnson has not played well here in the last five attempts, posting a T16 best out of all of them and coming up way short in his Masters' play. 

Simpson looks to repeat here and makes a solid case to outperform the top-ranked golfer in the world. However, he will have some other top names to worry about. 

Dunkel Index For This Event 

The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following lists both the golfers as well as their respective odds for winning the event:

  1. Will Zalatoris: -16.776
  2. Matthew Fitzpatrick: -18.018
  3. Collin Morikawa: -18.449
  4. Brian Harman: -18.612
  5. Cameron Smith: -18.650
  6. Webb Simpson: -18.897
  7. Billy Horschel: -18.941
  8. Charley Hoffman: -19.000
  9. Russell Henley: -19.250
  10. Paul Casey: -19.485

*index is subject to changes 

Golfers That Could Win 

Collin Morikawa (-18.449) is a good choice to land somewhere in the top five to finish. With a PGA Tour win already on his resume this season, he is another solid choice to bet on with some momentum at the Masters tying for 18th. 

Will Zalatoris (-16.776) has earned a lot of respect, starting from last year being ranked outside the top 400 total golfers. He recently moved up to being the 27th top-ranked golfer in the world with his continued success each time he completes, especially coming in second at the Masters. 

Potential Winning Pick 

Webb Simpson (-18.897) has the fifth-best ball-striking accuracy in the current field. After putting up a T12 performance at the Masters recently, he is in a prime position to pull a repeat here. 

Last season, Simpson put up a -22 score to set a tournament record. Not only that, but this marked his fourth straight appearance here where he finished T16 or better, so he clearly loves this course. 

Prop Bets

Top 10 Finish: Will Zalatoris (+250)

Zalatoris burst on the golf scene last week at Augusta with his 2nd place finish in his first Masters. The 24-year-old won $1.2 million without even having his Tour card yet!

But it was not all that suprising given how well he's been playing lately. Zalatoris ranks 10th in scoring average (69.929), 22nd in driving distance (307.2) and 16th in greens in regulation (70.27%).

Prior to his Masters debut, the Wake Forest product had finished 21st at the Players Championship and 10th at the Arnold Palmer.

Rated No. 1 in the Dunkel Index, we certainly think Zalatoris is a solid pick to win. But at plus money (+250) to finish in the Top 10, it's hard to find a better value play than this one.

Top 20 Finish: Chris Kirk (+225)

Kirk took an indefinite leave from the Tour in 2019 to battle alcohol abuse and depression. He has been open about his story and helping others deal with similar situations. He has also been playing some solid golf this year.

The 35-year-old has made the cut in 11 of the 13 tournaments he's entered while picking up 3 Top 10 finishes and 7 Top 25 finishes.

He's coming off a 6th place finish at the Valero Texas Open and also had an 8th at the Arnold Palmer and 16th at the A&T Pebble Beach.

Rated No. 11 this week in the Dunkel Index, we'll take Chris Kirk (+225) to continue his strong comeback and pick up a Top 20 finish.

Top 30 Finish: Charley Hoffman (+120)

Few golfers have been as hot as Hoffman lately. He's finished 17th or better in five of his last eight starts, including three Top 10s. In his last tournament, Hoffman was runner-up at the Texas Valero Open.

The 44-year-old veteran has been solid from tee to green. He ranks 20th in driving distance (307.3), 36th in greens in regulation (69.22%) and 29th in scoring average (70.411).

Ranted No. 8 in the Dunkel Index, Hoffman hasn't won on Tour since 2016. It would not be surprising to see him in contention on Sunday, but a safer play looks to be taking Hoffman (+120) to finish in the Top 30.


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